NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	9.6 [64]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +16.5%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	5.8 [258]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -34.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	0.00	0.03	17	90%	0.31	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.09,0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	13	60%	0.17	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.14
Robert Horry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.17	-0.04	-0.16	-0.02	14	50%	-0.14	1	-0.04	10	80%	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	8	59%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	0.00	16	71%	0.22	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Grimm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	11	62%	0.05	4	-0.23	4	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	-0.00	10	52%	-0.12	4	-0.23	5	20%	-0.26

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	25.4	15.4	24.4	2.7	38.7	133.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -34.5%

LAL +53.1%

SAC -5.4%

LAL +35.6%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.6	106.3	103.2	102.5
season	14.8	15.2		110.0	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	14.8	14.6	17.1	14.8
SAC	15.9	15.2	16.0	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	54	56	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-14	31	14.0	15.9	-1.88	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Nick Van Exel	70	70	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.51	8	-5	13	14.3	16.2	-1.89	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Eddie Jones	76	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	14.5	16.1	-1.62	14.8	18.9	-4.11
Corie Blount	47	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	0	3	16.1	13.6	2.48	15.6	15.4	0.14
Robert Horry	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-1	5	14.3	16.3	-2.05	16.1	14.0	2.10
Rick Fox	52	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	1	1	14.3	15.5	-1.20	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Kobe Bryant	40	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.6	14.2	1.36	16.6	14.8	1.79
Derek Fisher	25	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	8	-13	16.2	14.3	1.89	16.4	15.2	1.27
Sean Rooks	41	39	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	17	-31	15.9	14.0	1.88	16.6	14.7	1.88

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	56	57	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.02	9	-12	21	16.7	13.7	3.03	15.2	14.2	1.04
Anthony Johnson	28	29	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.20	1	-4	5	16.0	15.3	0.70	16.6	14.0	2.51
Derek Grimm	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	0.0	15.5	-15.51	2.0	14.9	-12.95
Michael Stewart	23	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.5	-0.15	17.1	14.0	3.08
Lawrence Funderburke	41	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-7	11	16.7	14.6	2.07	15.2	14.5	0.71
Billy Owens	59	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	14.5	17.2	-2.72	14.1	15.9	-1.76
Bobby Hurley	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	2	-7	14.5	15.6	-1.09	11.0	15.3	-4.31
Olden Polynice	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	15.8	14.9	0.96	13.7	16.8	-3.04
Michael Smith	55	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	3	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.38	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Corliss Williamson	45	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.4	0.14	17.0	12.7	4.29
Mitch Richmond	63	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	-2	1	15.0	16.4	-1.41	13.9	16.5	-2.61
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	32	31	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	7	-17	14.2	16.2	-2.03	15.6	14.4	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.15,0	92.9%
POR 103, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,0	92.2%
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	91.6%