inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 104 Excitement6.3 [540] MVPJulius Randle (MIN): +13.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 123 Comeback4.4 [575] LVPPaul Reed (DET): -12.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.01-0.011456%0.1100.00887%0.02
Malik Beasley0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.000.011864%0.131-0.02683%0.02
Jalen Duren0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.011062%0.082-0.041100%0.00
Marcus Sasser0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ronald Holland II0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.01
Bobi Klintman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniss Jenkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ausar Thompson-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.011540%0.011-0.04540%-0.03
Isaiah Stewart-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.031237%-0.0300.00683%0.01
Lindy Waters III-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Simone Fontecchio-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.020.03819%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Paul Reed-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.02529%-0.092-0.03450%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.060.021860%0.172-0.047100%0.04
Rudy Gobert0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03-0.021653%0.121-0.04475%-0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.011960%0.194-0.12475%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.05968%0.0700.00771%-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.011050%0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Luka Garza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.021100%0.0200.002100%0.02
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02475%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Rob Dillingham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Minott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaylen Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.04455%-0.0200.00367%-0.00
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02614%-0.0700.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.21.848.115.431.22.427.6156.6
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +50.4%
MIN +1.1%
MIN +6.4%
DET -10.0%
MIN +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMINNBADETMINNBA
this game15.314.414.4108.3125.5113.1
season14.114.7114.0115.4
opponent14.614.5110.3112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.214.715.915.515.3
MIN14.812.013.018.814.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Holland II15160.04-0.540.580.011-202116.415.11.2810.215.2-4.93
Isaiah Stewart15160.04-0.540.580.011-202116.415.11.2810.215.2-4.93
Marcus Sasser13140.03-0.530.570.011-202116.815.11.7610.615.0-4.36
Bobi Klintman440.00-0.500.50-0.031-202111.715.5-3.7318.714.24.56
Daniss Jenkins440.00-0.500.50-0.031-202111.715.5-3.7318.714.24.56
Simone Fontecchio5051-0.10-0.400.31-0.131-202115.215.5-0.3414.913.81.18
Jalen Duren5355-0.13-0.370.250.11-8-11315.015.7-0.6415.213.31.83
Dennis Schroder6668-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-16-3-1315.415.20.2314.414.30.11
Ausar Thompson6969-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-16-3-1315.016.1-1.0515.012.92.15
Paul Reed2827-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.06-12-7-515.315.3-0.0515.214.11.11
Malik Beasley7782-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-14-5-915.514.60.9314.115.9-1.86
Lindy Waters III2424-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-14-5-915.615.20.4016.213.82.48
Tim Hardaway Jr.6260-0.45-0.05-0.390.17-212-2315.215.5-0.2314.214.7-0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley60600.55-0.050.59-0.1323-42713.815.2-1.3615.914.31.58
Jaden McDaniels60580.50-0.000.510.011721515.312.92.3415.515.00.49
Nickeil Alexander-Walker55540.400.100.30-0.161901913.815.1-1.2716.114.31.76
Rudy Gobert79770.380.120.26-0.151811714.812.42.4315.315.6-0.32
Julius Randle66650.340.160.17-0.05136713.216.9-3.7515.514.90.62
Jaylen Clark36350.200.30-0.110.14217-1516.413.23.2214.815.6-0.78
Anthony Edwards74740.190.31-0.110.05514-914.214.9-0.7115.116.1-1.00
Luka Garza450.020.48-0.46-0.01118-1718.714.24.5614.015.4-1.40
Rob Dillingham440.000.50-0.500.03-120-2118.714.24.5611.715.5-3.73
Leonard Miller440.000.50-0.500.03-120-2118.714.24.5611.715.5-3.73
Josh Minott440.000.50-0.500.03-120-2118.714.24.5611.715.5-3.73
Donte DiVincenzo2220-0.040.54-0.58-0.04019-1912.614.9-2.3015.015.4-0.41
Naz Reid2220-0.040.54-0.58-0.04019-1912.614.9-2.3015.015.4-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 74, SAS 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.0%
ATL 95, BOS 1050.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,193.9%
WAS 124, ATL 1380.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,193.8%