NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	6.0 [640]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +22.4%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	6.1 [497]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.05	-0.03	20	58%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.06	0.05	26	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
De'Andre Hunter	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	16	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.09	0.03	27	60%	0.29	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	3	133%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	77%	0.07	5	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	16	47%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	26.6	15.4	30.2	2.8	31.0	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.9%

BOS +6.9%

ATL -1.9%

BOS +4.9%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.5	96.0	107.1	110.8
season	14.6	14.9		114.3	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		105.7	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	15.7	15.4	14.1	15.1
BOS	12.4	15.0	14.0	15.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharife Cooper	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	10.0	15.2	-5.15	16.0	14.1	1.89
De'Andre Hunter	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-13	16	14.9	15.7	-0.78	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Lou Williams	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.4	15.0	0.43	15.3	13.7	1.62
Onyeka Okongwu	34	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	16.2	14.5	1.64	14.6	13.9	0.68
Delon Wright	31	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	16.7	14.4	2.39	15.4	13.6	1.81
Clint Capela	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	14.5	16.2	-1.64	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Danilo Gallinari	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	15.0	15.2	-0.28	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Bogdan Bogdanovic	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.7	12.2	2.56
Trae Young	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-5	0	14.7	16.5	-1.81	13.6	16.3	-2.79
Kevin Huerter	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.7	15.6	-0.87	13.7	14.7	-1.01

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	82	85	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-1	12	13.7	16.1	-2.38	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Jaylen Brown	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	5	0	13.8	15.6	-1.81	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Al Horford	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-3	16	13.4	14.9	-1.45	15.4	14.8	0.64
Derrick White	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-2	14	15.1	12.9	2.23	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Marcus Smart	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	10	-10	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Robert Williams III	75	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	12	-14	13.8	15.1	-1.25	14.9	15.6	-0.67
Grant Williams	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	9	-8	15.1	13.0	2.18	15.8	14.3	1.49
Payton Pritchard	22	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	0	10	15.0	13.9	1.06	15.8	14.9	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.4%
WAS 72, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
PHX 96, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,1,1	93.0%