NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	5.7 [653]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +24.0%
Atlanta Hawks	138		Comeback	8.8 [293]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -12.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.05	-0.04	11	72%	0.19	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	19	67%	0.20	6	-0.18	7	86%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.05	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	7	65%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	26	51%	-0.01	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.10	0.06	24	72%	0.28	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.02
Chris Crawford	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	13	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	8	88%	0.16	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	14	72%	0.13	5	-0.10	11	91%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	19	52%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Travis Hansen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	30.0	13.8	26.1	2.4	37.3	135.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +5.2%

ATL +22.1%

ATL +6.4%

ATL +17.2%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	15.7	120.4	132.7	100.5
season	15.2	15.3		96.4	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.0	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.1	14.2	14.1	13.2	13.7
ATL	16.2	14.0	13.0	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	29	29	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-23	32	14.7	13.3	1.43	17.3	12.9	4.36
Steve Blake	35	38	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-15	16	13.3	13.9	-0.57	14.5	14.0	0.57
Mitchell Butler	14	13	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-18	22	13.2	13.7	-0.52	15.9	13.9	2.01
Etan Thomas	56	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-20	26	13.7	13.6	0.12	15.9	12.3	3.59
Brendan Haywood	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	3	-20	14.7	13.0	1.70	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Juan Dixon	75	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	0	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.56	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Gilbert Arenas	92	93	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	4	-22	13.5	15.0	-1.50	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Jerry Stackhouse	92	92	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.03	-20	6	-26	13.3	16.5	-3.13	13.7	17.9	-4.24
Christian Laettner	59	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	0.05	-27	13	-40	13.9	13.3	0.64	12.3	16.7	-4.37

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	96	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-4	22	13.8	18.2	-4.43	13.7	13.1	0.60
Chris Crawford	70	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	1	12	15.0	12.4	2.60	13.7	13.5	0.16
Stephen Jackson	99	98	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-3	20	14.0	18.2	-4.24	13.8	10.8	3.01
Jason Terry	97	96	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-2	18	14.1	15.0	-0.90	13.7	13.6	0.10
Jason Collier	57	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	8	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.67	14.2	12.8	1.41
Boris Diaw	56	52	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.19	15	-1	16	13.3	15.2	-1.94	13.3	14.0	-0.67
Josh Davis	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	14	-14	19.0	14.1	4.88	18.0	13.6	4.38
Travis Hansen	2	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	1.5	14.4	-12.91	0.0	13.7	-13.66
Jacque Vaughn	18	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	19	-24	15.6	13.9	1.75	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Joel Przybilla	24	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	26	-38	16.7	13.4	3.31	13.0	13.9	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 97, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.3%
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
TOR 103, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%