inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 74 Excitement5.6 [675] MVPZaza Pachulia (ATL): +9.9%
San Antonio Spurs 89 Comeback3.7 [833] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -28.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.00670%0.121-0.02875%-0.00
Jeremy Richardson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Horford0.000,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.021150%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Mario West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.06656%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Josh Childress-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02650%-0.022-0.04250%-0.02
Marvin Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00922%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.060.011261%0.066-0.16475%0.01
Mike Bibby-0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.24-0.07-0.04118%-0.164-0.1120%-0.04
Josh Smith-0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.27-0.05-0.031223%-0.078-0.212100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.070.070.030.050.02968%0.206-0.131681%0.02
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.064100%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.03-0.021645%0.063-0.061100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01550%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01430%-0.0200.0020%-0.02
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.001141%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.01530%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.030.041346%-0.043-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.829.215.624.11.735.0130.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +25.1%
SAS +7.9%
ATL -5.7%
SAS +21.6%
SAS +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSASNBAATLSASNBA
this game14.916.815.481.397.8105.7
season15.416.5104.2104.7
opponent15.315.7100.5107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.416.216.312.714.9
SAS17.517.315.716.616.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Richardson12130.03-0.530.560.09-2-131117.214.52.7315.017.1-2.06
Mario West340.00-0.500.500.03-1-14136.015.2-9.1814.216.9-2.64
Salim Stoudamire2324-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-8114.515.0-0.5414.817.5-2.69
Zaza Pachulia3536-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-151515.114.70.3817.116.50.61
Josh Smith6767-0.23-0.270.03-0.17-2-131114.815.0-0.1616.617.2-0.65
Josh Childress5655-0.34-0.16-0.170.05-13-2-1115.014.70.3116.916.60.35
Al Horford5655-0.39-0.11-0.270.05-150-1514.715.1-0.3816.517.1-0.61
Mike Bibby6867-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.16-8-7-115.014.50.5417.514.82.69
Joe Johnson7776-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-10-5-515.113.91.2117.114.92.20
Marvin Williams5858-0.540.04-0.58-0.04-172-1914.515.5-0.9516.916.50.45

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili69690.52-0.020.54-0.0720-52517.215.51.6714.615.9-1.36
Tony Parker53530.51-0.010.52-0.0218-32116.217.5-1.3016.113.22.82
Robert Horry37380.480.020.47-0.0719-42318.515.62.8915.114.70.43
Bruce Bowen64640.440.060.370.08123916.417.7-1.2815.712.92.88
Kurt Thomas24240.290.210.09-0.03114717.116.70.4315.714.61.18
Tim Duncan67670.210.29-0.090.09411-716.717.1-0.4314.615.7-1.18
Michael Finley46460.080.42-0.340.11-116-1717.516.01.5715.314.40.95
Jacque Vaughn15150.070.43-0.36-0.02312-917.316.70.6013.015.2-2.25
Ime Udoka35340.070.43-0.360.10-116-1715.417.6-2.1814.914.90.01
Matt Bonner550.000.50-0.500.00015-1514.216.9-2.727.815.3-7.49
Damon Stoudamire2828-0.080.58-0.660.10-621-2717.116.60.4412.416.0-3.59
Fabricio Oberto1212-0.090.59-0.680.03-419-2314.217.2-2.9015.514.80.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 102, IND 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.0%
PHI 75, NJN 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,193.9%
CLE 89, BOS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,193.7%