NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	4.3 [939]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +8.4%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	3.3 [655]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -15.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	57%	0.03	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	2	60%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	12	52%	-0.00	6	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	11	31%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.8	31.9	16.8	32.2	3.4	28.6	138.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.5%

NJN +5.3%

NJN +7.5%

NJN +18.5%

PHI -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	14.6	15.7	82.4	96.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.8		95.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	18.8	17.2	15.9	16.9
NJN	15.7	13.3	12.8	16.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	15.7	16.9	-1.17	17.5	14.5	3.01
Greg Buckner	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-16	18	15.5	17.7	-2.18	16.0	13.8	2.19
Willie Green	45	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	15.5	18.2	-2.64	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Kyle Korver	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	15.7	17.6	-1.86	13.4	15.3	-1.96
John Salmons	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-8	2	17.9	16.2	1.61	15.6	14.0	1.58
Kenny Thomas	63	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.6	15.2	2.44	16.2	10.7	5.54
Zendon Hamilton	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	16.3	17.2	-0.92	11.8	16.2	-4.32
Samuel Dalembert	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	0	-14	17.7	14.5	3.16	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Aaron McKie	60	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	17.6	15.4	2.25	14.3	15.2	-0.82
Eric Snow	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	3	-20	16.7	18.0	-1.30	14.4	15.8	-1.43

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	59	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-4	22	13.9	15.9	-1.96	17.4	16.0	1.41
Jason Kidd	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	13.5	16.2	-2.62	17.5	15.9	1.63
Kenyon Martin	57	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	2	10	13.3	16.7	-3.43	17.0	16.7	0.34
Kerry Kittles	47	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	1	12	14.0	15.3	-1.27	17.4	16.3	1.05
Richard Jefferson	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	4	6	14.1	15.2	-1.12	17.2	16.5	0.62
Rodney Rogers	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	14.6	14.6	-0.06	16.4	17.2	-0.87
Lucious Harris	37	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	15	-16	14.7	14.6	0.09	16.1	17.4	-1.29
Tamar Slay	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	12	-10	16.7	13.3	3.43	16.7	17.0	-0.34
Zoran Planinic	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	13	-12	16.2	13.5	2.62	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Brian Scalabrine	17	16	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	12	-10	18.5	13.7	4.80	17.6	16.7	0.92
Brandon Armstrong	8	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	12	-10	18.0	14.3	3.70	17.6	16.8	0.76
Aaron Williams	24	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	18	-22	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.4	17.4	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CLE 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
WAS 87, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%