NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	9.5 [125]		MVP	Alex Caruso (OKC): +29.1%
LA Clippers	101		Comeback	3.2 [437]		LVP	Norman Powell (LAC): -31.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.29	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.29,0.29	0.03	0.25	-0.02	11	54%	0.33	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
Jaylin Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	0.00	4	133%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	17	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.06
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	12	54%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Isaiah Joe	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	4	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-0.03	29	38%	-0.18	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.08

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	20	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	10	54%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.00	14	47%	0.08	6	-0.36	8	87%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.07	-0.26	-0.01	12	37%	-0.14	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	28.5	14.7	28.0	1.8	42.3	144.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.6%

LAC -5.4%

LAC -13.3%

OKC +40.7%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	14.4	106.2	104.1	113.1
season	13.7	14.9		117.9	113.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	12.9	14.1	17.0	14.4
LAC	14.6	14.8	15.9	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	64	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.50	5	-3	8	14.1	15.1	-1.03	14.7	16.5	-1.82
Isaiah Hartenstein	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-6	14	14.1	15.2	-1.06	15.4	14.9	0.50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.55	0	2	-2	14.3	15.0	-0.77	15.4	14.8	0.61
Luguentz Dort	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	14.0	15.1	-1.16	16.0	14.2	1.83
Cason Wallace	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	0	2	14.8	13.8	0.98	15.7	14.5	1.23
Kenrich Williams	37	37	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-6	14	14.9	14.1	0.77	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Jaylin Williams	31	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.1	1.06	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Aaron Wiggins	52	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	8	-14	14.6	14.2	0.37	15.6	14.8	0.80
Isaiah Joe	42	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	7	-12	14.8	14.2	0.56	14.3	16.0	-1.65

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	42	41	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-7	12	14.5	15.9	-1.40	14.0	14.8	-0.85
Nicolas Batum	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-5	8	14.0	15.4	-1.42	13.2	14.6	-1.46
Ben Simmons	30	31	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-1	0	15.3	15.2	0.08	14.5	14.4	0.06
Bogdan Bogdanovic	40	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-1	0	15.9	14.8	1.15	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Amir Coffey	28	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	7	-16	14.4	15.6	-1.15	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Norman Powell	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-2	2	14.8	16.0	-1.19	14.9	13.6	1.23
Kawhi Leonard	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-3	4	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.8	12.5	2.32
James Harden	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	15.6	14.4	1.18	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Ivica Zubac	67	66	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Derrick Jones Jr.	50	51	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.47	-11	9	-20	16.0	14.4	1.64	14.3	14.6	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 113, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.21,0.39,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	90.5%
WAS 88, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.15,0	90.3%
GSW 119, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.47,0	90.2%