NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	9.2 [88]		MVP	Khalid El-Amin (CHI): +12.5%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	5.3 [252]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -37.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerard King	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	2	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	17	76%	-0.08
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.05
Obinna Ekezie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Felipe Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.09	2	-0.04	14	57%	-0.06
Juwan Howard	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.21	-0.17	-0.01	18	21%	-0.33	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	54%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	15	24%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	0.00	3	42%	-0.07	1	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.15	-0.24	-0.02	17	36%	-0.20	2	-0.17	8	37%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	32.7	16.0	29.3	2.4	39.0	149.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -0.4%

WAS +5.3%

CHI -2.3%

WAS +48.5%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.5	92.6	86.5	100.9
season	15.2	16.4		98.6	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	13.2	15.9	13.5	14.2
CHI	20.0	14.0	15.4	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	68	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-8	21	13.9	14.8	-0.84	17.1	13.3	3.86
Gerard King	29	28	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	13.4	14.5	-1.05	11.7	17.7	-6.01
Felipe Lopez	66	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	0	5	14.4	13.6	0.85	14.7	19.0	-4.23
Mitch Richmond	59	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	4	-3	13.3	15.6	-2.26	17.8	12.6	5.14
Chris Whitney	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-6	17	15.0	13.7	1.32	16.1	15.9	0.23
Rod Strickland	69	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	7	-9	13.8	15.1	-1.24	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Jahidi White	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	-3	11	14.3	14.1	0.19	16.6	15.4	1.19
Cherokee Parks	15	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	16.7	13.7	2.95	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Obinna Ekezie	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	11	-17	13.2	14.4	-1.28	15.8	16.0	-0.16
Richard Hamilton	41	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	8	-11	14.8	13.7	1.14	17.1	15.2	1.91
Michael Smith	26	28	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.10	-9	14	-23	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.6	16.5	-1.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	34	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-8	11	17.0	15.4	1.64	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Jamal Crawford	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-4	3	12.3	16.3	-4.01	12.8	14.3	-1.55
Marcus Fizer	47	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-2	-1	16.1	15.8	0.31	15.3	13.0	2.25
Fred Hoiberg	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.2	14.2	0.06
Khalid El-Amin	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-11	17	16.4	15.5	0.95	13.1	15.4	-2.36
Elton Brand	82	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-8	11	16.0	15.9	0.13	13.8	16.1	-2.24
Metta World Peace	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	17.3	13.7	3.55	14.7	13.3	1.41
Bryce Drew	36	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	7	-19	16.3	15.8	0.49	15.7	13.2	2.50
Ron Mercer	80	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	2	-9	15.3	19.5	-4.24	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Brad Miller	38	38	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	7	-19	15.3	16.4	-1.08	13.9	14.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 76, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.16,0	91.2%
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	90.5%
PHI 93, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.4%