NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	119		Excitement	9.8 [110]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +71.9%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	8.4 [220]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -13.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.72	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.72	0.35	0.40	0.04	32	72%	0.72	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	-0.02	0.18	-0.01	20	40%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	21	57%	0.15	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.15	0.00	5	82%	0.23	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.16	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	-0.04	18	59%	0.13	5	-0.14	8	62%	-0.05
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.12	-0.06	10	50%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.4	15.4	26.3	1.8	36.1	131.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +80.2%

DAL -22.4%

GSW +0.7%

DAL -8.8%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	14.3	125.3	120.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.7		114.5	108.5
opponent	14.1	15.0		109.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	14.3	16.2	13.4	14.1
DAL	17.1	17.0	15.1	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	66	65	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.56	13	-8	21	13.5	15.6	-2.12	16.7	15.0	1.76
Andre Iguodala	57	57	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.57	9	-4	13	13.9	14.6	-0.68	17.3	14.4	2.87
Klay Thompson	68	68	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.67	4	1	3	14.6	13.1	1.45	15.6	17.6	-1.99
Stephen Curry	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	-4	13	14.4	13.5	0.88	16.3	15.7	0.63
Kevin Durant	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	14.2	13.8	0.43	16.5	15.1	1.32
Jordan Bell	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	15.1	14.0	1.08	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Jonas Jerebko	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.06	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Alfonzo McKinnie	32	32	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.24	-2	7	-9	13.0	14.7	-1.73	16.8	15.9	0.92
Shaun Livingston	29	29	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	8	-11	14.7	13.9	0.73	15.0	16.7	-1.63
Kevon Looney	35	35	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.10	-9	14	-23	14.7	13.8	0.81	14.4	17.2	-2.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	21	23	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.22	4	-9	13	14.6	16.6	-1.99	14.9	13.9	1.01
Wesley Matthews	48	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	16.4	16.0	0.42	14.3	14.0	0.39
Dwight Powell	33	35	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	16.2	16.2	0.02	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Dirk Nowitzki	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.56	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Dorian Finney-Smith	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-12	19	16.3	16.0	0.23	14.5	13.8	0.70
Maxi Kleber	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	8	-21	15.6	17.0	-1.44	13.5	15.0	-1.43
Jalen Brunson	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-5	5	16.8	15.3	1.51	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Harrison Barnes	72	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	16.2	16.1	0.05	14.3	13.5	0.78
DeAndre Jordan	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.5	13.5	1.04
Luka Doncic	64	65	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.58	-14	9	-23	16.0	16.5	-0.56	13.9	14.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.47,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.58,0	89.1%
MIL 84, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.72,0.67,0.74,0	88.9%
MEM 76, BKN 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.38,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.67,0.47,0	88.9%