NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	120		Excitement	8.1 [287]		MVP	Ricky Council IV (PHI): +28.0%
San Antonio Spurs	128		Comeback	6.3 [358]		LVP	Quentin Grimes (PHI): -7.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Council IV	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	9	83%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.25	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	16	68%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Justin Edwards	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	14	74%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Chuma Okeke	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Hood-Schifino	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jared Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.2,-0.03,-0.07	0.02	-0.11	-0.02	20	60%	0.12	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.19	-0.01	10	64%	0.29	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	0.00	10	72%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	17	64%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.00	0.00	7	129%	0.27	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.16	0.01	14	52%	0.20	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	27.5	14.6	24.8	2.6	33.2	132.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +26.6%

SAS +4.4%

PHI -3.8%

SAS +22.4%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	14.4	115.4	123.1	113.0
season	15.0	14.2		110.4	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		115.6	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	13.3	12.9	15.2	13.8
SAS	14.2	12.4	15.9	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Hood-Schifino	41	42	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.18	-4	-4	0	13.9	13.8	0.11	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Oshae Brissett	36	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	12.7	14.5	-1.79	14.3	13.6	0.69
Ricky Council IV	52	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	13.8	13.9	-0.13	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Lonnie Walker IV	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	0	-8	11.2	14.7	-3.47	13.3	14.0	-0.71
Jared Butler	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	13.5	14.3	-0.83	14.2	13.5	0.68
Quentin Grimes	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-9	10	13.7	14.1	-0.42	14.4	12.6	1.81
Chuma Okeke	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	2	-12	14.9	11.9	2.98	13.4	14.7	-1.35
Guerschon Yabusele	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-4	0	14.3	12.4	1.85	14.1	13.1	1.00
Justin Edwards	83	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	0	-8	14.3	12.1	2.18	13.7	14.4	-0.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Castle	76	76	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.36	20	-12	32	13.6	14.6	-1.08	13.7	14.2	-0.57
Harrison Barnes	66	65	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.33	17	-9	26	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.8	12.2	2.65
Jeremy Sochan	75	76	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-4	16	14.0	13.5	0.47	14.3	12.6	1.73
Keldon Johnson	57	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-1	10	13.1	14.8	-1.78	13.8	13.9	-0.05
Devin Vassell	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	3	2	14.1	13.2	0.86	14.5	11.7	2.81
Chris Paul	58	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	11	-14	14.0	13.7	0.29	13.1	14.8	-1.62
Sandro Mamukelashvili	29	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	12	-16	13.5	14.0	-0.47	12.6	14.3	-1.73
Julian Champagnie	38	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	15	-22	13.9	13.8	0.14	13.2	14.2	-1.05
Blake Wesley	44	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.17	-9	17	-26	14.4	13.5	0.92	12.9	14.5	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.63,0.9,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.78,0.96,1	90.8%
HOU 98, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	90.0%
BOS 101, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.44,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	90.0%