NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	7.8 [303]		MVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): +32.3%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	7.7 [259]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.02	19	57%	0.18	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
David Wesley	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	22	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	9	44%	-0.07	2	-0.10	7	71%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.21	-0.01	20	63%	0.35	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	0.01	6	86%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	20	59%	0.18	6	-0.20	16	81%	0.04
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	23%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.4	14.8	27.2	2.5	34.4	135.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.6%

WAS +17.4%

WAS +0.2%

WAS +10.8%

WAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	105.4	107.4	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		104.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.5	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	15.0	17.3	17.4	16.0
WAS	13.0	17.8	13.5	15.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	37	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-7	11	17.2	15.3	1.86	15.1	14.6	0.48
Ryan Bowen	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	0	-3	19.2	15.7	3.54	13.3	14.9	-1.64
Clar. Weatherspoon	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-5	7	16.8	15.8	1.00	17.8	14.0	3.79
Mike James	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-8	13	15.8	17.1	-1.32	14.4	16.5	-2.15
Juwan Howard	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	3	-9	16.1	16.0	0.12	14.3	16.4	-2.15
David Wesley	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	3	-9	16.0	16.3	-0.30	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Jon Barry	41	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	16.2	15.9	0.27	15.7	14.0	1.76
Tracy McGrady	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-3	3	15.7	19.2	-3.54	14.9	13.3	1.64
Yao Ming	56	57	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.54	-7	4	-11	15.3	17.2	-1.86	14.6	15.1	-0.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	59	58	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-6	15	15.3	13.9	1.31	16.6	15.2	1.35
Gilbert Arenas	82	82	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-8	19	14.7	15.0	-0.27	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Michael Ruffin	31	32	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-12	27	13.5	15.4	-1.82	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Larry Hughes	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	14.1	17.4	-3.31	15.5	18.5	-3.05
Antawn Jamison	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.47	-5	8	-13	15.2	12.5	2.73	16.4	14.1	2.36
Steve Blake	49	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	3	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.28	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Kwame Brown	61	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	12	-21	15.5	13.4	2.07	16.7	14.9	1.83
Etan Thomas	34	34	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.11	-8	11	-19	14.4	15.0	-0.65	15.5	16.4	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,1	91.3%
CHI 78, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	91.0%
GSW 103, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.52,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.0%