inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 103 Excitement7.9 [261] MVPRandy Foye (DEN): +29.9%
Denver Nuggets 114 Comeback4.7 [120] LVPBrandon Rush (GSW): -10.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Holiday0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.270.150.130.021672%0.291-0.0200%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.010.08-0.041350%0.141-0.02250%0.00
Festus Ezeli0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.00664%0.0600.00250%-0.03
Draymond Green0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.01-0.021055%0.072-0.042100%0.01
James Michael McAdoo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.08-0.070.011062%0.081-0.09667%-0.00
David Lee-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.001243%-0.0600.00683%0.01
Shaun Livingston-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.011343%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.02725%-0.052-0.052100%0.01
Brandon Rush-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0150%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.130.200.031271%0.311-0.014100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.060.14-0.011271%0.263-0.0500%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.060.021656%0.1700.001182%0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.05-0.01950%0.0700.0020%-0.02
Erick Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.03450%0.0310.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.040.011857%0.062-0.06667%-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.001100%0.052-0.062100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.01450%0.002-0.06450%-0.04
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00242%-0.021-0.04837%-0.12
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.529.515.726.22.434.9138.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.4%
DEN +7.4%
DEN +9.2%
GSW -9.4%
GSW -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.714.615.1105.1115.2104.2
season13.614.6109.2103.4
opponent15.315.5106.699.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.014.216.515.314.7
DEN13.214.014.816.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Festus Ezeli36360.31-0.811.130.175-162114.814.50.2814.114.9-0.83
Leandro Barbosa52510.15-0.650.790.121-121314.614.7-0.1615.114.01.10
Brandon Rush5050-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-121314.614.7-0.0713.615.6-2.07
Draymond Green4143-0.21-0.290.090.03-8-3-514.914.50.3914.414.7-0.34
James Michael McAdoo5756-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.21-3-8514.514.9-0.3914.714.40.34
Harrison Barnes5050-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-1-914.414.9-0.4314.514.7-0.25
Justin Holiday7274-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.15-10-1-914.714.40.3714.614.40.20
Shaun Livingston7072-0.700.20-0.89-0.26-154-1914.814.30.4615.013.61.37
David Lee6263-0.810.31-1.13-0.34-165-2114.514.8-0.2814.914.10.83

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler64630.75-0.251.010.2019-82715.013.81.1715.013.91.10
Jameer Nelson76760.71-0.210.910.1818-72515.312.32.9714.914.00.90
Danilo Gallinari69690.64-0.140.780.2015-41915.113.31.8014.814.40.39
Kenneth Faried68680.54-0.040.590.221101115.113.41.7914.914.10.80
Randy Foye71710.500.000.500.2392714.415.1-0.7314.914.00.90
Gary Harris1616-0.010.51-0.51-0.01011-1113.714.7-1.0014.214.7-0.48
Joffrey Lauvergne76-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-112-1314.914.60.2915.014.60.37
Jusuf Nurkic2022-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-213-1513.115.0-1.8613.215.1-1.84
Will Barton4242-0.100.60-0.690.02-415-1913.815.2-1.4314.215.0-0.85
JJ Hickson4239-0.210.71-0.92-0.12-314-1714.015.0-1.0213.915.1-1.17
Erick Green2018-0.230.73-0.96-0.02-718-2512.615.1-2.4914.714.60.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.52,0.78,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 80, NYK 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.85,0.95,0.98,191.8%
SEA 92, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,191.2%
NYK 99, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.84,0.94,0.95,191.0%