NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	6.4 [564]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): +33.4%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	1.2 [1177]		LVP	Reece Beekman (BKN): -10.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.18	-0.00	16	63%	0.33	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Payton Pritchard	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	11	85%	0.29	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Sam Hauser	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Neemias Queta	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	86%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	19	49%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Baylor Scheierman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxwell Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.00	7	107%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.00	15	70%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	78%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	19	56%	0.16	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	28.3	15.6	24.3	2.4	34.2	130.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +5.3%

BOS +26.9%

BKN -1.5%

BOS +11.8%

BOS +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	14.4	135.3	131.4	113.0
season	15.3	15.3		118.3	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	16.4	19.3	19.1	17.8
BKN	16.5	17.1	13.4	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	57	56	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-11	24	17.7	17.9	-0.21	16.7	14.6	2.11
Jrue Holiday	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	17.5	18.9	-1.49	16.1	15.4	0.66
Payton Pritchard	56	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-4	10	18.0	17.3	0.72	16.9	14.1	2.83
Jaylen Brown	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-7	16	17.0	18.6	-1.55	15.7	16.2	-0.44
Luke Kornet	41	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	2	-2	17.8	17.7	0.15	16.5	15.4	1.14
Neemias Queta	22	22	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-6	14	17.8	17.7	0.03	17.0	15.6	1.42
Sam Hauser	50	52	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	11	-20	17.9	17.5	0.45	14.6	18.0	-3.40
Jayson Tatum	65	66	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.46	-15	17	-32	18.2	16.1	2.10	14.7	20.1	-5.48
Baylor Scheierman	20	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	10	-18	17.6	17.8	-0.13	16.5	15.8	0.75

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxwell Lewis	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.13	11	-13	24	16.6	15.6	0.95	17.7	17.8	-0.09
Ziaire Williams	63	63	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.42	15	-17	32	15.2	17.9	-2.63	18.0	17.0	1.02
Reece Beekman	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-4	6	16.3	15.7	0.64	17.7	17.8	-0.08
Tyrese Martin	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	4	-10	17.5	14.6	2.92	17.8	17.7	0.14
D'Angelo Russell	49	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	0	-2	15.4	16.6	-1.24	17.8	17.7	0.12
Keon Johnson	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-6	10	14.7	18.2	-3.42	18.0	17.3	0.75
Jalen Wilson	44	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	17	-36	17.7	14.0	3.70	16.7	18.8	-2.15
Day'Ron Sharpe	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	6	-14	15.5	16.7	-1.15	17.9	17.5	0.34
Cameron Johnson	64	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	5	-12	15.7	16.5	-0.75	17.8	17.5	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, MIL 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.1%
WAS 109, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MIA 86, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0	92.5%