NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	4.2 [968]		MVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): +15.1%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	1.1 [774]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	13	79%	0.12	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Keon Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Keegan Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Crawford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	13	66%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Malik Monk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	18	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.25	0.01	0.10	7	125%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	61%	0.12	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	5	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	65%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
TyTy Washington Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	26.4	15.4	30.3	1.6	26.2	130.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.0%

SAC -6.4%

SAC -3.0%

PHX +16.8%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	16.3	14.4	111.6	128.4	113.1
season	14.3	15.0		115.1	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.6		117.4	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	14.2	14.1	14.4	14.0
PHX	14.8	16.5	14.7	19.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Crawford	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	9.0	14.1	-5.13	24.5	16.1	8.38
Isaac Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	9.0	14.1	-5.13	24.5	16.1	8.38
Markelle Fultz	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	9.0	14.1	-5.13	24.5	16.1	8.38
Devin Carter	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-20	24	16.3	13.7	2.55	19.2	16.0	3.25
Keegan Murray	75	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-14	12	14.1	13.6	0.53	16.5	15.5	1.03
Jonas Valanciunas	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-1	-14	15.9	13.4	2.54	14.2	17.0	-2.74
Malik Monk	84	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-12	8	14.1	13.2	0.95	16.3	16.1	0.24
Keon Ellis	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.26	-18	2	-20	14.2	13.9	0.34	14.8	17.6	-2.84
Domantas Sabonis	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-8	0	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.9	17.1	-1.17
Jake LaRavia	29	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	13.9	14.1	-0.23	17.0	15.9	1.06
Zach LaVine	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	5	-26	13.3	16.7	-3.46	16.3	16.2	0.06
DeMar DeRozan	66	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-5	-6	14.5	12.9	1.57	16.6	15.6	0.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.05	23	-7	30	16.3	16.2	0.11	14.3	13.5	0.87
Kevin Durant	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	2	12	15.9	17.9	-2.10	13.5	15.9	-2.36
Ryan Dunn	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	11	-6	16.2	16.5	-0.27	14.2	13.6	0.54
Collin Gillespie	22	23	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	1	14	16.2	16.3	-0.15	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Devin Booker	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	7	2	17.0	14.1	2.86	14.6	12.0	2.63
Tyus Jones	46	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.16	14	2	12	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.7	13.4	1.35
Royce O'Neale	42	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	6	4	15.9	16.6	-0.66	14.3	13.8	0.48
Bradley Beal	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	17	-18	15.9	16.8	-0.90	13.2	15.0	-1.81
TyTy Washington Jr.	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	24.5	16.1	8.38	9.0	14.1	-5.13
Bol Bol	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	25.0	16.2	8.80	10.0	14.1	-4.06
Mason Plumlee	32	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	23	-30	16.2	16.3	-0.11	13.5	14.3	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 81, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 109, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%