NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	5.9 [642]		MVP	Jeff Dowtin Jr. (PHI): +18.6%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	1.5 [749]		LVP	Ricky Council IV (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.01	14	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Lonnie Walker IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	23	56%	0.15	6	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Reese	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	14	34%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Orlando Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	19	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
A.J. Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	20	61%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jared Rhoden	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	19	60%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	7	57%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Colin Castleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	15	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	27.2	14.6	24.2	2.5	32.5	130.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.5%

TOR +6.7%

TOR +42.0%

PHI -18.2%

TOR +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	14.3	14.4	101.0	112.4	113.0
season	15.0	13.9		110.4	109.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		113.0	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	11.9	13.1	14.3	13.2
TOR	13.4	12.9	15.7	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Reese	39	43	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.29	14	-27	41	11.8	14.0	-2.20	15.8	13.3	2.47
Adem Bona	47	49	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.25	12	-25	37	12.0	14.2	-2.15	15.9	12.9	2.97
Lonnie Walker IV	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	12.0	13.2	-1.23	5.0	14.4	-9.42
Ricky Council IV	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-20	27	12.7	14.3	-1.69	14.8	13.5	1.27
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	13.3	13.2	0.07	15.6	13.0	2.58
Quentin Grimes	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	13.8	12.2	1.63	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	4	-21	13.9	12.5	1.42	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Jared Butler	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	3	-19	13.0	13.9	-0.88	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Justin Edwards	52	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.23	-26	13	-39	13.9	12.6	1.29	13.0	15.6	-2.58
Andre Drummond	57	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.13	-25	12	-37	14.2	12.0	2.15	12.9	15.9	-2.97

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Colin Castleton	88	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-1	15	14.4	14.1	0.26	13.4	12.2	1.28
Jared Rhoden	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-1	15	14.3	14.8	-0.50	13.4	12.0	1.37
Garrett Temple	51	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	4	5	14.0	14.7	-0.72	12.7	13.7	-0.93
Jamal Shead	28	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	-4	21	13.0	14.8	-1.82	14.4	12.8	1.65
Orlando Robinson	67	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	11	-9	14.7	13.7	0.98	13.2	13.2	0.06
Jamison Battle	82	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	13	-13	14.9	12.4	2.49	13.4	12.7	0.67
Jakob Poeltl	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	5	3	13.2	15.0	-1.83	12.5	13.7	-1.17
A.J. Lawson	76	76	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	12	-11	14.8	13.1	1.70	12.9	14.1	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 100, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%