NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	120		Excitement	6.3 [585]		MVP	Karlo Matkovic (NOP): +15.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	127		Comeback	1.4 [365]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -7.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.01	0.08	20	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Ivica Zubac	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	12	73%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	15	64%	0.22	6	-0.16	9	100%	0.04
Amir Coffey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karlo Matkovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	7	94%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	13	69%	0.25	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	16	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.07	-0.03	19	52%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	117%	0.12	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	63%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.0	29.4	14.0	28.7	0.3	38.8	135.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +30.2%

NOP +5.1%

NOP +28.1%

LAC -12.6%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.4	121.2	128.3	113.0
season	14.9	14.4		113.8	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	13.0	15.1	13.8	14.4
NOP	14.3	16.3	12.6	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	64	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	14.1	15.0	-0.92	15.2	13.7	1.59
Kawhi Leonard	75	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-8	9	14.0	15.8	-1.83	15.1	13.3	1.76
Ivica Zubac	80	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-14	21	14.1	15.8	-1.71	15.0	13.5	1.49
Kobe Brown	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	15.6	14.3	1.27	15.5	14.6	0.90
Nicolas Batum	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-5	3	14.6	14.1	0.43	14.1	15.5	-1.45
James Harden	83	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-12	17	13.8	17.7	-3.92	14.7	14.6	0.07
Derrick Jones Jr.	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.4	14.4	-0.03	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Bogdan Bogdanovic	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	12	-31	15.8	13.7	2.07	12.8	15.6	-2.85
Amir Coffey	37	37	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.14	-20	13	-33	16.2	13.3	2.89	15.2	14.4	0.76

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hawkins	44	45	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-9	25	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.4	12.7	3.70
Zion Williamson	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	13.8	16.8	-2.98	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Karlo Matkovic	39	39	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	14.7	14.7	-0.03	16.4	13.1	3.23
CJ McCollum	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	-1	9	14.2	15.9	-1.74	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Trey Murphy III	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.02	13.7	16.7	-2.99
Jose Alvarado	49	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	6	-5	16.0	13.4	2.60	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Mo Bamba	28	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	16.8	13.9	2.93	16.3	13.7	2.63
Bruce Brown	64	63	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	15.2	13.8	1.37	12.9	17.0	-4.04
Yves Missi	56	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.03	-4	11	-15	14.4	15.1	-0.72	14.5	14.2	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.45,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.92,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	92.9%
IND 126, BKN 134	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	92.3%
LAL 87, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.1%