NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	4.3 [969]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +16.3%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.3 [964]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -5.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.23	0.02	0.10	16	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	40%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	22	42%	0.04	4	-0.08	13	85%	0.04
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	13	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	13	65%	0.18	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	16	62%	0.11	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	56%	0.07	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	13	48%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	33%	-0.05
DeSagana Diop	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	25.2	17.6	30.8	2.5	37.6	142.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +41.0%

DAL +1.1%

DAL +5.5%

LAL -3.3%

DAL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.6	100.0	117.2	104.4
season	15.6	16.4		106.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.7	17.3	15.7	16.1	16.6
DAL	16.6	20.6	13.7	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	50	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-19	23	16.9	16.2	0.66	16.3	16.7	-0.34
Devean George	56	55	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-22	29	15.1	19.3	-4.15	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Von Wafer	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	17.0	16.6	0.39	9.5	16.6	-7.15
Devin Green	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-11	7	15.4	16.9	-1.48	18.4	16.1	2.32
Andrew Bynum	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-8	1	19.5	16.1	3.34	16.7	16.4	0.31
Brian Cook	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-16	17	16.5	17.0	-0.59	16.2	17.2	-1.07
Lamar Odom	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-11	7	17.0	14.9	2.14	16.6	16.1	0.51
Kobe Bryant	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-11	7	16.0	22.7	-6.75	16.1	21.1	-5.07
Kwame Brown	24	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	5	-25	17.6	16.2	1.39	17.5	16.0	1.45
Luke Walton	23	24	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	5	-25	18.3	16.0	2.29	15.3	16.9	-1.64
Sasha Vujacic	40	40	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	0.05	-26	11	-37	17.1	16.2	0.84	17.5	15.6	1.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	36	37	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	1	13	16.4	16.5	-0.07	17.6	15.9	1.74
Devin Harris	45	44	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-6	27	15.1	18.0	-2.84	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	40	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	1	13	15.9	17.0	-1.13	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Josh Howard	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	1	13	15.9	19.2	-3.39	16.5	17.3	-0.86
Jerry Stackhouse	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	10	-5	15.8	17.3	-1.51	16.0	17.3	-1.35
Marquis Daniels	12	11	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	10	-5	15.9	16.6	-0.66	17.9	16.4	1.47
Adrian Griffin	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	13	-11	18.8	15.2	3.59	17.1	16.4	0.69
Jason Terry	58	58	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	15	-15	17.9	13.7	4.24	16.6	16.7	-0.10
DJ Mbenga	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	18.0	16.5	1.53	17.0	16.6	0.38
DeSagana Diop	27	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	14	-13	17.0	16.2	0.80	17.5	16.2	1.31
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	16	-17	16.5	16.4	0.15	16.0	18.8	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
NYK 81, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.92,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
CHI 84, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%