NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	4.7 [863]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +22.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1111]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -17.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	11	82%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	8	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	21	46%	-0.10	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	18	32%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.05	0.02	13	85%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	71%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	2	90%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	13	37%	-0.08	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	24.2	14.8	22.0	1.8	25.3	112.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.8%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +10.8%

CHI -0.6%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.6	95.5	117.2	102.3
season	15.6	15.8		96.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	15.4	13.9	18.6	16.2
CLE	13.6	18.9	18.0	16.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	54	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-12	6	14.4	19.1	-4.64	16.0	17.7	-1.73
Tyson Chandler	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-16	14	19.3	15.2	4.15	18.0	16.2	1.77
Kevin Ollie	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-21	24	17.7	15.4	2.27	18.5	15.7	2.73
Trenton Hassell	72	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	-9	0	15.7	18.6	-2.92	16.8	16.3	0.48
Charles Oakley	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-17	16	17.6	15.2	2.43	18.5	15.3	3.24
Fred Hoiberg	21	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-11	4	20.1	15.0	5.07	17.2	16.5	0.68
Greg Anthony	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	3	-24	15.4	17.7	-2.27	15.7	18.5	-2.73
Marcus Fizer	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	-1	-16	15.4	20.1	-4.67	16.4	17.9	-1.54
Ron Mercer	73	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.17	-30	12	-42	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.9	21.3	-5.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.15	25	-7	32	16.1	24.0	-7.86	16.3	15.5	0.79
Wesley Person	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-1	20	16.6	17.0	-0.39	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Bimbo Coles	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	12	-6	17.9	16.0	1.89	18.5	15.0	3.50
Lamond Murray	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	8	2	17.0	16.1	0.89	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Brian Skinner	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	6	6	16.9	16.6	0.35	18.5	15.3	3.26
Ricky Davis	31	32	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	7	4	16.1	17.0	-0.85	17.2	15.7	1.44
Andre Miller	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	6	6	16.0	17.9	-1.89	15.0	18.5	-3.50
Chris Mihm	34	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	15	-12	16.1	17.0	-0.92	15.7	16.6	-0.97
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	22	-26	18.4	15.6	2.76	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Bryant Stith	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	22	-26	17.1	16.6	0.47	16.6	16.2	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
HOU 97, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
LAL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%