NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	4.3 [962]		MVP	Von Wafer (HOU): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	1.0 [391]		LVP	Luther Head (HOU): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	12	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.03	0.05	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	73%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.03	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Luther Head	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	80%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	51%	0.12	2	-0.03	11	55%	-0.06
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	6	77%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	29.2	16.3	30.4	1.8	29.3	134.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +14.2%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +7.8%

MEM +25.4%

HOU -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	17.8	15.5	110.2	123.9	106.4
season	16.3	16.1		105.9	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	14.2	15.1	15.2	15.0
MEM	17.3	15.8	16.9	21.6	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	54	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-15	18	14.6	15.5	-0.87	18.2	16.9	1.28
Charles Hayes	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-12	12	13.6	15.4	-1.83	16.0	18.3	-2.29
Luis Scola	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-12	12	15.4	14.1	1.34	18.3	16.7	1.55
Rafer Alston	67	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-14	16	14.6	16.0	-1.42	18.4	16.0	2.38
Shane Battier	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	1	-14	16.1	13.6	2.55	17.4	18.2	-0.86
Aaron Brooks	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-11	10	14.4	15.7	-1.30	18.6	16.7	1.83
Carl Landry	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	14.0	15.8	-1.72	16.8	18.6	-1.79
Yao Ming	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	3	-18	15.7	13.7	1.98	18.6	16.4	2.25
Luther Head	46	46	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	0.08	-27	15	-42	15.3	14.6	0.62	15.9	19.8	-3.96

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	30	31	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-8	28	16.9	18.2	-1.31	15.2	14.9	0.30
Quinton Ross	46	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-3	18	16.6	19.0	-2.42	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Darrell Arthur	30	29	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	0	12	17.3	18.0	-0.70	15.1	14.9	0.26
Mike Conley	42	44	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	19.0	16.6	2.46	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Hakim Warrick	66	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	5	2	17.5	18.7	-1.23	14.4	16.5	-2.17
Marc Gasol	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	9	-6	18.2	16.7	1.57	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Kyle Lowry	46	44	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	10	-8	16.6	19.0	-2.46	15.3	14.6	0.66
Darko Milicic	18	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	10	-8	18.1	17.7	0.37	17.2	14.3	2.96
Rudy Gay	41	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	17	-22	19.0	16.7	2.36	15.4	14.6	0.84
O.J. Mayo	59	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	18	-24	18.2	16.8	1.39	14.9	15.2	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
WAS 75, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIA 76, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%