NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	8.9 [187]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +22.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	3.5 [528]		LVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): -22.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	21	54%	0.24	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.15	-0.14	0.03	24	65%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Grayson Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.10	3	-0.16	6	33%	-0.11
Collin Gillespie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.00	13	81%	0.45	5	-0.23	10	100%	0.07
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	9	80%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	7	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jay Huff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.01	11	64%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	7	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
GG Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	12	58%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Konchar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	9	11%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	11	42%	-0.08	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	29.5	14.7	32.0	2.6	45.2	152.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.5%

MEM +17.3%

PHX -5.9%

MEM +2.1%

MEM +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	13.5	14.4	119.2	122.4	113.1
season	15.0	13.3		114.3	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	17.0	15.0	15.5	15.7
MEM	12.2	13.0	13.2	15.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Gillespie	27	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	15.1	15.9	-0.80	14.8	13.1	1.69
Bol Bol	34	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-5	8	15.3	16.0	-0.66	13.6	13.5	0.11
Ryan Dunn	2	1	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	0	-2	5.5	15.9	-10.44	24.0	13.4	10.61
Nick Richards	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.20	12.7	14.1	-1.35
Mason Plumlee	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-8	14	16.0	15.5	0.49	14.2	12.7	1.47
Devin Booker	81	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.57	7	-9	16	16.0	14.4	1.64	13.7	12.7	0.97
Grayson Allen	52	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	4	-10	15.9	15.5	0.45	13.6	13.4	0.25
Kevin Durant	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.4	18.1	-2.70	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Royce O'Neale	58	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.42	-7	5	-12	15.9	15.4	0.53	13.3	13.8	-0.56
Tyus Jones	59	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	11	-24	16.2	15.1	1.09	12.9	14.5	-1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	70	70	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-13	28	13.2	14.2	-1.00	15.9	15.3	0.59
Lamar Stevens	45	45	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	13.1	13.9	-0.80	16.7	14.9	1.80
Scotty Pippen Jr.	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	1	0	13.3	13.7	-0.44	15.2	16.4	-1.14
Jaylen Wells	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	-2	6	13.9	13.2	0.74	16.1	15.4	0.64
Marvin Bagley III	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	5	-8	13.1	13.8	-0.76	16.2	15.3	0.87
Jay Huff	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-3	8	14.3	12.7	1.57	15.7	15.8	-0.15
GG Jackson	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	4	-6	13.7	13.3	0.41	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Desmond Bane	71	71	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.51	-15	17	-32	13.7	13.0	0.74	15.2	17.2	-2.02
John Konchar	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	11.9	13.7	-1.82	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Cam Spencer	41	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	6	-10	13.4	13.6	-0.19	15.8	15.7	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	93.1%
SAS 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	92.5%
BOS 99, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%