inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 87 Excitement6.7 [265] MVPNick Van Exel (DEN): +19.1%
Denver Nuggets 97 Comeback2.1 [85] LVPEric Washington (DEN): -21.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01772%0.071-0.03475%0.01
Bryon Russell0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.011154%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Adam Keefe0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01362%0.051-0.04250%-0.03
Todd Fuller-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Foster-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.00967%0.074-0.12367%-0.01
Chris King-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.0000%0.001-0.0600%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02633%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.01233%-0.051-0.0320%-0.05
Karl Malone-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.031350%-0.053-0.081867%-0.07
John Stockton-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14-0.07-0.060.01952%-0.023-0.12989%0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.190.190.020.15-0.021661%0.263-0.07667%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.090.011567%0.1800.00667%-0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.021164%0.0800.003100%0.01
Loren Meyer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keon Clark00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01955%0.062-0.072100%0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00370%0.052-0.07475%0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.001044%-0.0500.007100%0.04
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03520%-0.0710.0100%0.00
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.15-0.060.00520%-0.055-0.1600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.525.415.332.52.634.0134.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +23.5%
DEN +13.6%
UTA -7.5%
DEN +21.1%
UTA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game15.317.615.8100.0110.299.6
season16.415.5102.6100.7
opponent15.616.0107.696.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.515.914.016.115.3
DEN18.620.114.817.417.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris King44-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-12148.715.6-6.8618.017.60.42
Karl Malone7474-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-152013.923.4-9.5117.418.9-1.58
Howard Eisley3131-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-6216.714.52.2419.216.72.51
Jeff Hornacek5053-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-9814.816.0-1.1716.818.8-2.04
Greg Ostertag4546-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-8614.516.2-1.6817.018.2-1.22
Greg Foster1011-0.23-0.270.050.07-100-1022.014.47.5719.217.41.81
Todd Fuller1617-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-100-1020.114.25.9118.317.40.86
Bryon Russell7172-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.16-7-3-415.016.6-1.5517.120.0-2.93
Adam Keefe4140-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.13-8-2-616.414.32.0218.916.52.42
Shandon Anderson3735-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.16-9-1-816.014.81.1718.816.82.04
John Stockton5657-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.26-6-4-214.516.7-2.2416.719.2-2.51

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups68680.63-0.130.770.2214-41816.620.8-4.2015.913.32.54
Raef LaFrentz83820.54-0.040.580.3082617.518.8-1.2715.413.81.59
Bryant Stith65640.460.040.420.161001018.913.94.9915.614.31.29
Antonio McDyess62610.450.050.400.1991817.817.20.6415.315.3-0.07
Cory Alexander24240.320.180.150.0691819.916.73.1218.714.04.65
Loren Meyer990.200.30-0.090.0364214.617.9-3.3916.015.20.78
Nick Van Exel64630.180.32-0.150.1519-816.719.9-3.1214.018.7-4.65
Danny Fortson1515-0.010.51-0.53-0.0728-617.717.60.1615.815.20.61
Eric Washington4342-0.090.59-0.680.03-414-1817.118.0-0.9013.916.6-2.74
Keon Clark77-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-515-2020.417.43.0712.415.5-3.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 77, MIL 860.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,193.0%
NYK 81, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,192.7%
CHI 79, MIA 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.9,1,192.7%