NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	77		Excitement	7.9 [256]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +13.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.8 [250]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -39.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	16	62%	0.23	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	56%	0.03	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	11	31%	-0.12	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	10	23%	-0.10	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.39	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39	-0.22	-0.16	0.01	15	36%	-0.21	7	-0.18	12	58%	-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.00	20	44%	0.07	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	19	40%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	31.2	15.7	31.7	1.8	35.6	146.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -9.8%

MIL +12.8%

MIL +16.0%

MIL +31.1%

BOS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	81.9	92.5	106.4
season	15.8	15.0		108.3	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	15.2	18.2	16.1	15.9
MIL	13.9	14.8	12.5	19.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	10	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	12.4	16.3	-3.93	17.9	14.6	3.33
Gabe Pruitt	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	23.0	15.8	7.16	0.0	14.9	-14.88
J.R. Giddens	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	23.0	15.8	7.16	0.0	14.9	-14.88
Eddie House	33	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	14.5	16.7	-2.25	19.2	12.7	6.52
Leon Powe	48	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	16.0	15.8	0.13	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Mikki Moore	46	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	15.2	16.6	-1.37	16.1	13.8	2.30
Paul Pierce	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	16.3	14.4	1.82	14.4	16.9	-2.56
Stephon Marbury	30	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	2	-13	14.6	16.5	-1.98	18.5	13.0	5.50
Ray Allen	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-5	1	16.1	15.2	0.88	13.7	19.3	-5.57
Kendrick Perkins	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	16.6	12.6	4.06	14.2	18.3	-4.12
Rajon Rondo	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	-1	-7	16.5	13.9	2.59	13.6	20.0	-6.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	51	52	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	3	3	16.7	12.7	4.00	16.4	15.3	1.09
Luke Ridnour	57	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	16.7	12.0	4.66	14.7	17.7	-2.97
Keith Bogans	39	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	5	-1	18.1	12.6	5.50	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Charlie Villanueva	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Richard Jefferson	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	3	3	13.5	17.9	-4.41	16.6	14.6	1.96
Malik Allen	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	15.0	14.8	0.13	16.8	15.5	1.30
Ramon Sessions	51	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	3	3	11.9	18.5	-6.55	16.7	14.9	1.80
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	3	3	13.2	17.7	-4.50	16.3	15.3	0.97
Francisco Elson	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.7	15.2	1.44
Joe Alexander	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	6	-3	16.3	14.6	1.66	14.1	16.2	-2.13
Dan Gadzuric	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	16.8	14.8	2.03	8.8	16.3	-7.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,1	93.6%
HOU 85, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.79,0.76,0.99,1	93.4%
ORL 103, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%