NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	141		Excitement	7.8 [332]		MVP	Christian Braun (DEN): +50.4%
Denver Nuggets	149		Comeback	8.5 [268]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.20	0.21	-0.02	19	72%	0.51	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.06
Kevin Durant	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.30	0.09	16	74%	0.43	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Collin Gillespie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	13	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	4	85%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.14	-0.10	0.11	8	86%	0.04	1	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.21	0.36	0.06	11	89%	0.52	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.21	0.01	13	57%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	7	79%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	22	66%	0.18	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.23	-0.07	0.07	15	84%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.13	0.05	14	63%	-0.01	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	24.8	14.7	28.3	2.8	37.0	2.4	16.2	153.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +46.8%

PHX -28.5%

DEN +1.9%

DEN +20.8%

DEN +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.4	130.6	136.7	113.1
season	15.0	14.2		114.3	117.1
opponent	14.5	14.2		114.6	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	16.8	17.4	14.3	12.7	14.1	15.1
DEN	13.2	15.3	12.9	17.3	10.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	49	48	0.52	-1.02	1.55	0.08	15	-23	38	14.4	15.7	-1.36	14.4	14.0	0.42
Royce O'Neale	39	41	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.13	7	-15	22	15.1	15.1	-0.05	15.0	13.7	1.32
Mason Plumlee	55	55	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.30	11	-19	30	13.6	16.7	-3.04	14.5	13.9	0.62
Tyus Jones	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-10	12	15.1	15.1	-0.06	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Bol Bol	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.1	14.7	1.39	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Collin Gillespie	9	9	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	19.6	14.7	4.85	11.8	14.4	-2.64
Kevin Durant	94	96	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	14.8	17.3	-2.50	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Nick Richards	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	11	-30	16.7	13.6	3.04	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Devin Booker	88	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	15.2	14.6	0.63	14.6	12.6	1.96
Bradley Beal	83	83	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.61	-13	5	-18	15.1	15.0	0.14	14.4	13.4	1.02

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Porter Jr.	78	80	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.55	15	-7	22	14.6	13.3	1.23	15.6	13.6	1.98
Jamal Murray	85	86	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-7	22	15.0	11.4	3.57	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Aaron Gordon	81	79	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	13.8	15.4	-1.65	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Christian Braun	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	13.9	14.9	-1.01	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Nikola Jokic	94	93	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	0	8	13.8	16.9	-3.09	15.0	15.9	-0.95
Zeke Nnaji	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.3	15.0	0.25
Russell Westbrook	54	52	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.14	-11	19	-30	13.7	14.7	-0.99	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Peyton Watson	47	45	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.24	-8	16	-24	14.6	13.9	0.77	16.0	14.5	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 124, UTA 133	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.98,1,1	88.6%
PHI 107, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.42,0.46,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.74,1	88.5%
TOR 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	88.3%