NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	124		Excitement	6.1 [558]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +20.6%
Utah Jazz	133		Comeback	1.5 [707]		LVP	Greg Foster (UTA): -13.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.14,0.37,0.37,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.23	0.07	23	58%	0.27	1	-0.07	20	70%	-0.09
Cherokee Parks	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	15	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	13	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Stanley Roberts	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.11	-0.03	15	66%	0.23	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	17	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	16	81%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	85%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	9	89%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	7	72%	0.06	6	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	8	48%	-0.03	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	63.3	2.4	29.2	14.8	30.8	1.6	41.9	0.7	20.3	204.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.9%

UTA +10.6%

UTA +26.3%

MIN -11.9%

UTA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.6	118.1	127.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		105.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.0	19.6	14.0	10.8	14.0	14.6
UTA	17.1	12.5	14.8	18.8	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	43	41	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-23	37	11.4	16.9	-5.50	16.5	15.4	1.15
Stanley Roberts	37	36	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-18	27	13.8	15.1	-1.29	16.4	15.5	0.92
Reggie Jordan	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	8.5	14.7	-6.24	1.0	16.0	-14.96
DeJuan Wheat	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	8.0	14.7	-6.68	6.0	16.0	-10.01
Doug West	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.18	-14	5	-19	15.4	14.4	0.97	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Chris Carr	45	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.5	13.2	3.27	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Cherokee Parks	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	4	-17	15.6	13.3	2.24	15.3	16.5	-1.18
Stephon Marbury	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-7	5	15.1	12.2	2.89	16.3	13.3	3.02
Sam Mitchell	44	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	13.3	15.6	-2.24	17.0	15.0	1.94
Kevin Garnett	85	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	6	-21	14.6	14.9	-0.35	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Tom Gugliotta	85	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-5	1	15.3	11.8	3.42	16.0	14.8	1.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-3	15	16.9	12.1	4.79	14.7	14.2	0.53
Greg Foster	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-2	13	15.2	17.3	-2.04	14.1	16.0	-1.98
Bryon Russell	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Howard Eisley	77	79	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	12	-15	17.1	12.2	4.86	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Jeff Hornacek	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	16.8	13.4	3.42	13.4	17.5	-4.14
Shandon Anderson	31	32	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	13.4	16.8	-3.42	17.5	13.4	4.14
Jacque Vaughn	27	26	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	-3	15	12.2	17.1	-4.86	15.1	14.5	0.66
Adam Keefe	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	2	5	15.9	15.8	0.10	14.6	14.6	0.03
Greg Ostertag	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	13	-17	16.0	15.7	0.32	15.1	14.4	0.66
Antoine Carr	18	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	13.1	16.4	-3.34	15.5	14.4	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	91.1%
SEA 100, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	90.9%
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	90.6%