inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 106 Excitement7.6 [372] MVPTerry Rozier (MIA): +13.1%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback2.4 [593] LVPJulius Randle (MIN): -11.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.001358%0.171-0.0500%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.07-0.021150%0.121-0.02250%-0.02
Anthony Edwards0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.10.010.10-0.001054%0.152-0.05450%-0.01
Jaden McDaniels0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.10.040.060.011254%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jaylen Clark0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002150%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Mike Conley0.060,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.060.09-0.020.02983%0.132-0.0800%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.03-0.01-0.021354%0.071-0.0320%-0.01
Joe Ingles0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julius Randle-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.07-0.040.01954%0.025-0.13683%0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.09-0.00383%0.1300.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.02975%0.111-0.02250%-0.02
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.070.070.030.040.002151%0.112-0.0510%-0.03
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00450%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.02-0.00764%0.091-0.0800%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02-0.020.10-0.110.012159%0.062-0.08786%0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01829%-0.0800.001100%0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.050.00939%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.024.215.528.22.035.7131.5
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +45.9%
MIN +0.9%
MIN +13.1%
MIA -16.8%
MIN +6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game15.215.114.4112.8108.3113.1
season14.715.0114.8111.5
opponent14.614.7112.2110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN13.916.015.814.915.2
MIA16.712.814.217.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naz Reid61650.86-0.361.210.3019-173615.913.82.0716.711.94.76
Jaden McDaniels66700.69-0.190.880.439-71615.913.42.5115.613.81.81
Julius Randle67660.53-0.030.560.5302-215.314.90.4214.815.8-0.98
Anthony Edwards75780.340.160.190.3402-214.916.5-1.6115.513.71.79
Nickeil Alexander-Walker49460.340.160.190.49-57-1213.816.7-2.8714.216.0-1.78
Donte DiVincenzo59600.190.31-0.120.25-24-615.514.70.8114.815.6-0.73
Joe Ingles010.000.50-0.50-0.031100.015.2-15.195.015.2-10.23
Mike Conley5052-0.030.53-0.56-0.0302-215.215.2-0.0214.915.3-0.40
Jaylen Clark2424-0.210.71-0.91-0.03-68-1416.114.91.2013.815.6-1.78
Terrence Shannon Jr.1918-0.220.72-0.93-0.04-68-1412.615.8-3.2113.515.5-2.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson54560.35-0.851.20-0.3323-254814.016.5-2.4914.716.0-1.31
Kyle Anderson19200.00-0.500.500.000-2215.115.1-0.0911.516.2-4.69
Jaime Jaquez Jr.2021-0.11-0.390.280.01-42-616.714.71.9913.615.6-2.02
Pelle Larsson3734-0.23-0.270.040.15-1311-2415.614.80.8516.414.51.82
Kevin Love2019-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-119-2016.614.71.8616.614.81.80
Haywood Highsmith6362-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.5710-122214.416.5-2.0315.215.20.01
Terry Rozier2422-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-86-1418.713.94.8314.815.3-0.49
Tyler Herro8077-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.430-2214.717.1-2.3215.414.41.02
Bam Adebayo8784-0.570.07-0.64-0.51-20-215.115.8-0.7215.711.34.35
Davion Mitchell7675-0.600.10-0.69-0.45-53-814.816.4-1.6715.513.91.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.14,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 104, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.28,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.04,0.08,091.7%
DAL 96, NJN 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.07,0.03,0,091.4%
ORL 86, IND 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.08,091.4%