NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	130		Excitement	7.9 [328]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +57.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	128		Comeback	1.6 [361]		LVP	John Konchar (MEM): -10.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.50	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,0.5	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	51%	0.58	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.10
Stephon Castle	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	16	63%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Julian Champagnie	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Jeremy Sochan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	82%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Devin Vassell	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	19	51%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.57	0.57	0.26	0.33	0.02	25	72%	0.61	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Zach Edey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	94%	0.24	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.01	14	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	16	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.5	25.6	14.6	28.0	2.6	33.3	137.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.5%

SAS +21.5%

MEM -9.0%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.4	125.0	123.1	113.1
season	14.2	13.3		113.0	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		112.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.8	13.8	13.6	15.8	14.2
MEM	12.4	15.5	12.6	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	50	50	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.10	28	-26	54	13.6	14.8	-1.16	14.7	12.3	2.41
Stephon Castle	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-11	24	14.4	13.9	0.51	14.2	12.2	1.95
Keldon Johnson	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-11	24	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.2	12.3	1.86
De'Aaron Fox	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	4	-6	13.9	15.2	-1.30	13.5	13.4	0.12
Jeremy Sochan	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	2	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.82	13.1	14.1	-1.02
Bismack Biyombo	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	0	2	14.7	13.9	0.82	14.1	13.1	1.02
Harrison Barnes	41	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	13	-24	13.8	14.5	-0.69	12.3	14.2	-1.86
Chris Paul	46	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	14	-26	14.6	13.9	0.62	12.8	13.9	-1.10
Devin Vassell	73	72	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.46	-21	23	-44	14.6	13.3	1.28	12.3	16.1	-3.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	39	40	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-11	20	12.4	14.1	-1.74	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Lamar Stevens	31	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-7	12	13.8	13.3	0.48	16.2	13.4	2.81
Santi Aldama	81	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.58	15	-17	32	13.0	15.0	-1.91	14.6	12.9	1.75
Jaren Jackson Jr.	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-11	20	13.1	14.4	-1.26	14.2	14.1	0.11
Luke Kennard	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	13.2	13.7	-0.48	14.8	13.7	1.11
GG Jackson	21	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	8	-18	14.1	13.3	0.78	12.8	14.6	-1.85
Jay Huff	8	7	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	13	-28	19.7	12.9	6.80	8.9	14.6	-5.75
Jaylen Wells	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-8	14	13.2	14.7	-1.58	14.6	12.9	1.71
Cam Spencer	11	11	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	13	-28	18.0	12.9	5.06	10.1	14.7	-4.62
Zach Edey	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	2	-6	13.5	13.4	0.14	15.1	13.3	1.77
Scotty Pippen Jr.	62	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	4	-10	13.7	13.1	0.55	13.6	15.2	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.19,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 105, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.3%
TOR 83, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%
BOS 107, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.17,0	92.3%