NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	5.1 [776]		MVP	Jason Kapono (TOR): +15.6%
San Antonio Spurs	73		Comeback	1.5 [238]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -16.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	8	75%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	11	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	16	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	19	49%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Keith Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	12	52%	0.03	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.05
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	28%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	12	43%	-0.01	6	-0.16	11	64%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	26.2	15.7	26.2	2.6	33.4	134.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.3%

TOR +3.8%

SAS -11.3%

TOR +28.1%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	15.4	93.3	84.9	105.7
season	15.6	16.5		108.5	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.7		100.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	15.9	16.3	17.1	16.1
SAS	17.5	16.1	17.2	16.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	29	29	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.14	19	-9	28	14.8	16.8	-1.99	17.1	16.6	0.52
Carlos Delfino	57	57	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-9	28	15.8	16.8	-1.01	16.5	17.4	-0.94
Andrea Bargnani	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	0	10	16.5	15.2	1.29	17.2	15.8	1.40
Jason Kapono	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	16.2	15.9	0.31	16.5	17.4	-0.99
Kris Humphries	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	3	4	15.8	16.6	-0.79	15.9	17.9	-1.98
Jamario Moon	36	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	15.7	16.5	-0.79	17.0	16.7	0.29
Chris Bosh	59	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	14	-18	16.5	15.4	1.06	17.7	15.2	2.45
Anthony Parker	36	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	19	-28	16.3	16.0	0.24	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Jose Calderon	62	58	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	19	-28	16.7	14.8	1.95	16.7	17.0	-0.31

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	44	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.16	10	-20	30	15.8	17.8	-2.04	16.1	16.1	0.02
Keith Langford	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-13	16	20.0	16.5	3.45	17.3	16.0	1.25
Jacque Vaughn	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-7	4	16.7	16.8	-0.16	14.0	16.9	-2.88
Francisco Elson	11	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-8	6	19.5	16.4	3.05	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Fabricio Oberto	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	15.5	17.3	-1.79	13.4	17.2	-3.75
Tim Duncan	69	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	17.2	15.1	2.09	17.2	12.0	5.18
Michael Finley	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	16.4	18.9	-2.51	16.3	15.2	1.11
Ime Udoka	38	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-5	0	17.1	16.5	0.61	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Robert Horry	10	9	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	20.9	16.2	4.65	16.9	16.0	0.84
Tony Parker	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	16.8	16.7	0.16	16.9	14.0	2.88
Bruce Bowen	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.02	-21	11	-32	16.4	18.2	-1.73	16.0	16.7	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MEM 102, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.5%
POR 103, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0	93.2%