NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	5.3 [299]		MVP	Anthony Black (ORL): +25.1%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	1.3 [380]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -11.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	26	62%	0.19	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cason Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.05	-0.05	15	37%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.12	0.02	14	70%	0.26	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	0.06	15	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	32.2	16.5	31.3	3.4	26.6	141.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.9%

ORL -3.6%

ORL -8.2%

OKC +11.4%

OKC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ORL	NBA	OKC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	14.3	109.4	104.2	112.0
season	13.9	15.1		113.8	108.5
opponent	14.5	14.7		106.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	13.6	15.2	15.5	14.6
ORL	14.8	15.2	16.8	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-9	24	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.9	15.1	0.85
Luguentz Dort	53	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-2	10	14.7	14.4	0.33	15.9	15.3	0.56
Alex Caruso	37	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	-6	18	14.2	14.8	-0.59	16.2	15.3	0.97
Isaiah Hartenstein	66	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-1	8	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.3	16.4	-1.17
Jalen Williams	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	14.6	14.4	0.18	15.6	15.8	-0.23
Kenrich Williams	24	22	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	0	6	13.1	15.0	-1.90	16.4	15.4	0.98
Ajay Mitchell	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-1	8	13.7	14.8	-1.13	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	70	69	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	12	-18	15.3	12.4	2.92	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Isaiah Joe	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.30	-12	18	-30	14.5	14.6	-0.08	16.0	15.4	0.65
Cason Wallace	41	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	15	-24	15.0	14.2	0.87	15.0	16.1	-1.14

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	55	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-10	14	15.9	15.3	0.58	14.6	14.5	0.03
Cory Joseph	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-8	10	15.8	15.6	0.24	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-14	22	15.6	15.6	-0.05	15.0	13.8	1.16
Wendell Carter Jr.	57	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	16.1	14.9	1.19	14.6	14.5	0.15
Jalen Suggs	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.9	-0.88	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Tristan da Silva	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-12	18	15.5	16.0	-0.44	14.8	13.7	1.07
Jett Howard	17	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-5	4	13.5	16.1	-2.61	17.0	13.9	3.05
Anthony Black	60	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	15.9	15.1	0.88	14.6	14.5	0.13
Jonathan Isaac	33	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	6	-18	15.8	15.5	0.32	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Moritz Wagner	39	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	3	-12	15.4	15.8	-0.38	14.3	14.7	-0.48
Cole Anthony	25	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.09	-21	15	-36	15.7	15.6	0.15	13.6	14.9	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 99, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0	93.6%
SEA 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.4%