NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.7 [596]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (IND): +13.9%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.5 [579]		LVP	Josh Richardson (DAL): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	13	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	14	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Bowen II	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cassius Stanley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.03	0.08	11	65%	0.05	3	-0.10	12	75%	-0.02
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Bey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Hinton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	28	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	14	37%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	28.5	14.7	25.6	1.8	31.5	126.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.5%

IND +5.1%

DAL -7.2%

IND +11.9%

DAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.4	112.4	96.9	111.3
season	13.6	15.0		111.5	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	12.8	15.3	15.4	14.1
DAL	15.3	16.0	14.1	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	47	50	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	-10	35	13.8	14.3	-0.43	16.2	15.1	1.07
Jeremy Lamb	29	29	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	0	15	13.4	14.3	-0.96	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Doug McDermott	33	33	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-2	19	12.0	15.1	-3.11	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Edmond Sumner	35	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	5	5	13.5	14.3	-0.80	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Myles Turner	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	0	15	14.2	13.8	0.42	15.8	15.2	0.59
Domantas Sabonis	70	70	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	6	3	14.2	13.6	0.64	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Caris LeVert	69	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	12	-9	15.0	11.7	3.29	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Malcolm Brogdon	57	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	8	-1	14.6	13.2	1.41	15.7	15.6	0.08
Goga Bitadze	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	18	-21	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Brian Bowen II	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	14.0	14.1	-0.05	16.5	15.6	0.88
Aaron Holiday	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	14.0	14.1	-0.05	16.5	15.6	0.88
JaKarr Sampson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	14.0	14.1	-0.05	16.5	15.6	0.88
Cassius Stanley	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	14.0	14.1	-0.05	16.5	15.6	0.88
Justin Holiday	44	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	22	-29	14.0	14.1	-0.01	15.5	15.8	-0.25

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Bey	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	17.0	15.5	1.45	18.7	13.7	4.92
Nate Hinton	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	17.0	15.5	1.45	18.7	13.7	4.92
Kristaps Porzingis	76	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	15.2	17.0	-1.80	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Maxi Kleber	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-6	-3	15.8	15.3	0.53	13.7	14.8	-1.07
Trey Burke	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.2	15.9	-0.73	13.6	14.3	-0.78
Josh Green	16	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-7	-1	17.5	15.3	2.23	14.7	13.9	0.84
Jalen Brunson	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-11	7	15.7	15.5	0.20	14.1	13.9	0.22
Dorian Finney-Smith	67	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.28	14.1	14.0	0.02
Dwight Powell	21	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.7	13.9	0.82
Josh Richardson	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	15.5	16.0	-0.53	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	5	-25	15.0	16.3	-1.25	13.6	14.5	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0	94.5%
LAL 107, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 86, LAL 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	93.9%