NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.2 [793]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +17.0%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	1.4 [490]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -12.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	12	87%	0.25	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	79%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	6	57%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	24	54%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.05	0.03	15	68%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	17	71%	0.17	6	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	32.1	20.4	23.5	3.4	38.5	148.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +55.9%

PHX -10.9%

LAL +7.5%

PHX -4.7%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	13.3	15.6	105.3	100.0	104.4
season	15.6	13.8		106.2	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	16.6	18.5	18.5	17.4
PHX	13.7	14.0	11.5	14.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	42	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-9	24	17.5	17.4	0.05	14.9	12.2	2.74
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	4	-2	17.7	14.7	2.95	13.4	11.7	1.78
Sasha Vujacic	38	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	0	6	18.4	16.8	1.64	14.9	12.4	2.54
Smush Parker	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	2	2	16.6	19.3	-2.70	12.3	15.5	-3.25
Lamar Odom	87	86	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.40	-3	9	-12	17.3	19.9	-2.60	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Brian Cook	19	20	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-6	18	18.2	17.3	0.96	15.9	12.6	3.33
Luke Walton	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	2	2	17.2	17.8	-0.59	12.3	14.6	-2.33
Kwame Brown	72	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.37	-6	12	-18	17.9	16.0	1.83	12.7	15.3	-2.54
Jim Jackson	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	16.0	17.6	-1.64	12.5	13.5	-1.00

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	10.7	13.4	-2.70	12.2	17.7	-5.43
James Jones	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	3	-12	14.1	13.2	0.86	17.8	17.4	0.46
Steve Nash	81	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-9	12	12.8	16.9	-4.11	17.2	18.6	-1.41
Shawn Marion	80	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-7	8	13.2	14.1	-0.86	16.7	21.4	-4.68
Eddie House	16	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	2	-10	16.3	12.7	3.60	19.1	17.1	2.04
Tim Thomas	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	1	-8	13.7	12.7	1.00	18.1	16.4	1.67
Raja Bell	87	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.37	1	-7	8	13.5	10.7	2.85	17.8	13.4	4.34
Boris Diaw	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-7	8	12.8	16.1	-3.37	17.6	16.8	0.76
Leandro Barbosa	50	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.6	13.0	0.53	17.1	17.8	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.17,0	93.8%
MIA 115, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.3%
DAL 101, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.2%