NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	102		Excitement	7.7 [359]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +19.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.0 [613]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -34.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.07	0.03	15	84%	0.28	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	17	52%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.11
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Coffey	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.12,-0.15,-0.33,-0.35,-0.35	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	22	35%	-0.03	6	-0.31	7	100%	0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	21	62%	0.27	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.01	22	56%	0.26	6	-0.15	11	91%	0.05
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	24.7	15.4	35.0	2.8	39.4	144.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.7%

LAC -2.6%

LAC -18.7%

LAL +31.6%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.4	105.2	109.3	113.0
season	14.9	15.0		113.8	114.1
opponent	14.3	14.4		113.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	14.8	12.3	13.8	14.1
LAL	19.4	14.6	14.9	14.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	59	61	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.40	19	-23	42	13.7	14.7	-1.05	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Kris Dunn	61	60	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.30	12	-16	28	13.6	14.8	-1.21	15.7	15.4	0.30
Kawhi Leonard	75	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.1	13.9	0.21	16.3	13.1	3.22
Ivica Zubac	76	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-13	22	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.5	16.1	-0.60
Nicolas Batum	20	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	9	-22	15.4	13.7	1.67	14.9	15.8	-0.82
Amir Coffey	45	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	9	-22	14.6	13.6	0.98	15.2	15.9	-0.69
James Harden	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	13.6	16.4	-2.76	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Ben Simmons	31	30	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	15	-34	15.2	13.5	1.65	16.7	15.1	1.57
Bogdan Bogdanovic	37	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	16	-36	14.6	13.7	0.89	15.9	15.4	0.54

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	29	28	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.00	20	-16	36	14.6	16.1	-1.52	15.5	13.5	1.96
Gabe Vincent	52	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-7	18	15.3	16.0	-0.63	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Trey Jemison III	42	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-15	34	15.9	15.4	0.42	14.1	14.1	-0.01
LeBron James	77	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	6	-8	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.3	13.3	1.01
Jordan Goodwin	44	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	-10	24	14.4	16.6	-2.21	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Dalton Knecht	36	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	15.6	15.6	-0.01	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Dorian Finney-Smith	64	62	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.43	-9	13	-22	15.9	15.1	0.85	14.1	14.1	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	55	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.50	-15	19	-34	15.4	15.9	-0.42	14.2	13.9	0.26
Luka Doncic	71	73	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	17	-30	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Austin Reaves	15	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	12	-20	20.5	14.7	5.81	16.5	13.6	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.67,0.9,0.79,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 71, LAL 82	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%
ORL 103, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.93,1	92.3%
SEA 101, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1	91.6%