NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	135		Excitement	4.1 [801]		MVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): +17.5%
Atlanta Hawks	119		Comeback	1.0 [992]		LVP	Zaccharie Risacher (ATL): -10.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luguentz Dort	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	13	77%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.04	-0.04	8	72%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.02	0.11	23	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.01	0.08	12	82%	0.10	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.01	0.09	16	68%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	54%	0.07	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	7	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	27.5	14.6	23.2	1.8	28.2	123.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.9%

ATL -6.1%

ATL -2.0%

OKC +16.8%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ATL	NBA	OKC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	12.5	14.4	125.0	110.2	113.0
season	13.8	13.3		118.0	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.4	15.9	12.9	14.8	14.2
ATL	13.2	12.4	12.9	11.4	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	7	2	13.5	16.0	-2.55	12.4	12.8	-0.41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	-7	30	14.2	14.2	0.00	12.5	12.5	-0.04
Luguentz Dort	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	1	14	14.1	14.3	-0.22	12.3	12.8	-0.53
Cason Wallace	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	14.1	14.3	-0.23	12.0	13.2	-1.22
Kenrich Williams	42	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	7	2	14.0	14.3	-0.36	12.8	12.3	0.52
Chet Holmgren	33	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	4	8	13.0	14.7	-1.72	13.7	11.9	1.84
Aaron Wiggins	55	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	12	-8	14.3	14.1	0.23	13.0	11.8	1.19
Jaylin Williams	28	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.30	17	-1	18	15.0	13.9	1.04	13.5	12.1	1.35
Isaiah Hartenstein	61	63	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.48	-13	29	-42	14.4	14.0	0.38	11.7	13.5	-1.82
Adam Flagler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	13	-10	19.7	14.0	5.63	11.5	12.5	-0.99
Isaiah Joe	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	22	-28	16.7	13.5	3.23	12.0	12.6	-0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keaton Wallace	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	11.0	12.5	-1.53	19.2	14.0	5.25
Dominick Barlow	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	11.0	12.5	-1.53	19.2	14.0	5.25
Georges Niang	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-11	6	12.4	12.5	-0.05	15.0	13.2	1.78
Clint Capela	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-3	-10	13.7	12.2	1.58	15.0	14.0	1.00
Mouhamed Gueye	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-2	-12	12.7	12.4	0.28	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Trae Young	80	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-12	8	11.9	14.1	-2.16	14.4	13.7	0.65
Caris LeVert	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-11	6	12.7	12.2	0.47	14.7	13.6	1.07
Onyeka Okongwu	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-14	12	12.2	13.2	-1.00	13.6	16.0	-2.46
Dyson Daniels	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-9	2	12.1	13.2	-1.07	13.7	15.3	-1.54
Terance Mann	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	1	-18	13.4	11.4	2.01	14.3	14.1	0.23
Zaccharie Risacher	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	-5	-6	12.5	12.4	0.14	13.4	16.1	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 134, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 114, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%