NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	3.4 [1125]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +11.9%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.0 [958]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -8.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.02	0.08	14	82%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	21	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	18	52%	0.04	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
John Lucas III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	64%	0.09	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	11	63%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	-0.00	6	-0.08	10	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.5	29.9	18.4	25.6	2.3	31.5	133.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.4%

TOR -3.0%

HOU +10.6%

HOU +7.6%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	12.9	15.4	109.6	96.2	104.5
season	15.6	15.2		103.6	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	14.3	15.3	15.0	14.8
TOR	16.2	10.9	14.1	11.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.25	28	-14	42	14.9	14.3	0.61	13.6	11.5	2.08
Charles Hayes	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-3	20	15.2	14.1	1.09	14.3	11.2	3.09
Shane Battier	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-5	24	14.8	14.5	0.36	13.4	11.7	1.67
Tracy McGrady	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.05	16	-2	18	14.6	15.0	-0.35	13.5	11.7	1.76
Yao Ming	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	-3	20	14.9	14.4	0.50	13.3	12.1	1.20
Juwan Howard	66	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	15	-16	14.2	15.8	-1.60	12.3	14.0	-1.73
John Lucas III	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	21	-28	14.7	14.8	-0.02	11.9	13.2	-1.23
Luther Head	60	58	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	22	-30	14.3	15.4	-1.10	11.1	15.3	-4.24
Vassilis Spanoulis	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	25.0	14.7	10.35	5.5	13.1	-7.59
Steve Novak	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	25.0	14.7	10.35	5.5	13.1	-7.59
Kirk Snyder	20	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	21	-28	14.4	14.8	-0.37	11.9	13.2	-1.36

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-24	34	12.5	13.1	-0.59	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Pape Sow	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	8.7	13.1	-4.36	22.3	14.5	7.81
Uros Slokar	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	8.7	13.1	-4.36	22.3	14.5	7.81
Kris Humphries	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-21	28	12.6	13.0	-0.47	16.2	14.5	1.78
Juan Dixon	69	70	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-20	26	11.7	15.4	-3.75	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Andrea Bargnani	76	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-16	18	11.7	16.2	-4.53	14.2	16.3	-2.14
Joey Graham	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-6	-2	11.9	13.3	-1.41	14.3	14.9	-0.54
Jorge Garbajosa	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	13.3	11.9	1.44	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Rasho Nesterovic	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	6	-26	17.5	11.6	5.92	15.6	14.5	1.08
Morris Peterson	33	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	8	-30	16.0	11.5	4.52	15.5	14.4	1.17
Chris Bosh	86	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	7	-28	13.0	12.6	0.47	14.5	16.2	-1.78
T.J. Ford	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.16	-24	10	-34	13.1	12.5	0.59	14.8	14.7	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIL 137, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
OKC 109, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%