NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	123		Excitement	2.1 [379]		MVP	Ty Jerome (CLE): +23.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Comeback	1.3 [943]		LVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): -13.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.01	0.01	8	95%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Santi Aldama	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	18	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Ja Morant	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.05	0.05	13	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Zach Edey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	24%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	-0.00	16	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.07	-0.04	8	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	23	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	20	54%	0.09	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.4	33.1	0.3	38.2	3.5	39.4	146.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.7%

MEM -4.4%

CLE +22.7%

MEM -0.1%

MEM -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	14.8	14.4	121.8	126.5	113.0
season	13.3	13.7		115.6	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.3		110.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.2	14.4	14.0	12.4	13.5
CLE	15.6	15.0	13.1	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scotty Pippen Jr.	11	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-7	8	12.0	13.7	-1.73	12.5	15.1	-2.55
Vince Williams Jr.	38	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-13	20	14.3	13.1	1.24	13.7	15.6	-1.85
Jaren Jackson Jr.	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-13	20	12.4	14.8	-2.46	16.5	13.0	3.47
Brandon Clarke	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	14.4	13.1	1.22	12.8	15.8	-3.00
GG Jackson	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	1	-8	16.7	13.3	3.48	15.0	14.8	0.19
Jaylen Wells	48	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	2	-10	13.6	13.5	0.07	15.3	14.5	0.83
Desmond Bane	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-4	2	12.7	16.4	-3.74	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Luke Kennard	52	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-4	2	14.4	12.6	1.85	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Ja Morant	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	13.3	14.2	-0.98	15.7	12.8	2.94
Zach Edey	54	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	5	-16	13.7	13.3	0.38	15.7	13.9	1.76
Santi Aldama	59	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	14.0	12.9	1.05	14.5	15.3	-0.87

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	64	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	15.6	13.6	1.98	12.9	14.8	-1.92
Evan Mobley	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-3	12	14.5	15.8	-1.27	13.4	14.2	-0.81
Ty Jerome	49	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	2	2	14.3	15.3	-1.00	13.7	13.4	0.34
Jarrett Allen	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-1	8	15.8	13.0	2.82	12.9	14.7	-1.87
De'Andre Hunter	55	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	4	-2	13.7	16.1	-2.38	13.7	13.4	0.28
Donovan Mitchell	74	73	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	5	-4	15.8	12.2	3.55	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Dean Wade	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	6	-6	13.5	15.6	-2.01	15.1	12.7	2.35
Sam Merrill	39	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	8	-10	13.1	15.9	-2.87	15.6	12.4	3.17
Isaac Okoro	39	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	7	-8	15.7	14.3	1.37	13.0	13.9	-0.91
Craig Porter Jr.	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	15.5	14.7	0.75	13.8	13.5	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%
SAS 97, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.99,1	93.4%
NOH 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.4%