NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	1.8 [487]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +28.0%
LA Clippers	103		Comeback	1.1 [882]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): -15.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.28	0.12	0.12	-0.04	11	71%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	10	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	0.02	-0.14	0.03	21	63%	0.07	7	-0.23	4	75%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	11	77%	0.27	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.07	0.03	32	54%	0.20	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	19	30%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.4	14.5	34.3	1.8	31.4	137.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.8%

LAC +2.5%

LAC +17.8%

LAC +26.7%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.1	15.0	14.2	92.4	103.0	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		110.8	113.2
opponent	14.4	14.2		107.0	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	12.3	12.3	13.3	13.1
LAC	14.7	12.5	16.0	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	55	54	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-13	20	12.2	14.2	-1.98	14.7	15.4	-0.77
Jakob Poeltl	30	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-10	14	11.8	13.6	-1.81	12.3	16.1	-3.77
Patty Mills	46	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-16	26	12.7	13.4	-0.72	15.8	14.4	1.46
Lonnie Walker IV	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	11.5	13.4	-1.87	10.8	15.7	-4.89
Rudy Gay	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-3	0	12.4	14.0	-1.55	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Marco Belinelli	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-9	12	13.1	13.1	0.01	15.4	14.8	0.64
DeMar DeRozan	75	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-4	2	13.1	13.1	0.03	16.1	12.6	3.50
Trey Lyles	27	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	15.0	12.5	2.58	16.7	14.5	2.18
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	4	-14	13.6	11.8	1.81	16.1	12.3	3.77
Dejounte Murray	50	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	7	-20	14.2	12.2	1.98	15.4	14.7	0.77
Bryn Forbes	57	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	10	-26	13.6	12.5	1.11	14.2	15.9	-1.72

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	69	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-6	18	14.9	15.3	-0.35	13.8	11.6	2.14
Montrezl Harrell	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	3	0	14.7	15.6	-0.89	12.5	14.4	-1.88
Landry Shamet	51	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	4	-2	15.8	14.2	1.56	13.9	12.3	1.58
Maurice Harkless	45	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	14.4	15.5	-1.17	12.2	13.8	-1.65
JaMychal Green	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	2	2	13.1	16.9	-3.76	12.0	14.2	-2.19
Lou Williams	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	4	-2	14.9	15.3	-0.46	12.4	14.5	-2.14
Patrick Patterson	36	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	0	6	16.4	14.2	2.18	14.3	12.4	1.90
Patrick Beverley	63	68	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	10	-14	16.0	13.3	2.73	13.9	11.8	2.11
Ivica Zubac	31	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	1	4	16.1	14.5	1.56	14.6	12.4	2.26
Rodney McGruder	16	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	7	-8	13.3	15.3	-2.03	10.8	13.6	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1	94.9%
DEN 86, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.85,1,1	94.8%
TOR 85, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,1	94.6%