NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	148		Excitement	9.4 [110]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (DET): +42.3%
Atlanta Hawks	143		Comeback	2.8 [393]		LVP	Tobias Harris (DET): -5.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.42	0.10	0.35	0.03	10	64%	0.45	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Cade Cunningham	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35	0.22	0.14	0.02	24	75%	0.42	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32	0.19	0.12	-0.01	12	75%	0.31	1	0.01	8	50%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	11	82%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	93%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ausar Thompson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	8	82%	0.20	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Reed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	0.00	14	80%	0.37	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.05
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.09	-0.01	10	76%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.00	-0.03	20	67%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	57%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.2,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	24	60%	0.23	7	-0.24	15	80%	0.04
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.8	14.7	32.2	2.4	44.5	150.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.5%

DET +14.0%

ATL -4.1%

ATL -15.9%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	11.5	14.4	129.8	124.3	113.0
season	14.1	13.3		113.5	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.9	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.3	13.8	13.2	15.5	13.7
ATL	12.6	11.9	11.6	9.9	11.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	56	54	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.76	5	0	5	13.4	14.0	-0.63	10.6	12.3	-1.72
Malik Beasley	82	82	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.34	15	-10	25	13.6	13.9	-0.28	11.2	12.2	-1.06
Isaiah Stewart	54	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-7	19	12.6	14.6	-2.02	10.4	12.5	-2.13
Cade Cunningham	89	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	13.7	13.7	-0.06	12.0	9.6	2.36
Tobias Harris	82	83	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	-9	23	13.4	14.4	-0.97	11.8	10.7	1.02
Ronald Holland II	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	15.0	13.2	1.86	10.8	11.7	-0.93
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	64	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	14.5	12.6	1.95	12.1	10.7	1.37
Jalen Duren	51	51	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	14.7	12.9	1.83	12.6	10.6	2.08
Paul Reed	9	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	14.3	13.6	0.71	11.7	11.5	0.28
Simone Fontecchio	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	11.7	13.9	-2.15	9.7	11.7	-2.03
Ausar Thompson	40	44	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	-0.08	-19	24	-43	13.0	14.0	-1.00	11.7	11.4	0.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	28	28	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-12	19	13.0	11.0	2.05	13.3	13.8	-0.47
Zaccharie Risacher	73	74	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-13	21	12.0	10.7	1.29	13.9	13.3	0.50
Clint Capela	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	10.1	12.3	-2.19	14.5	13.2	1.27
Terance Mann	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	7	-19	11.1	11.6	-0.52	12.2	14.3	-2.09
Dyson Daniels	89	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-3	1	11.9	10.2	1.72	14.4	11.2	3.21
Trae Young	96	94	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-7	9	10.7	15.2	-4.46	13.4	15.0	-1.67
Onyeka Okongwu	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	12.5	9.9	2.55	13.4	14.1	-0.75
Caris LeVert	54	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	8	-21	11.6	11.4	0.13	13.4	13.9	-0.52
Georges Niang	87	86	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.29	-12	7	-19	11.0	13.0	-2.05	13.8	13.3	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.29,0.55,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.69,0	92.7%
IND 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.42,0	91.3%
PHX 117, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.34,0.58,0	90.8%