NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	7.0 [434]		MVP	Keon Ellis (SAC): +27.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	111		Comeback	1.5 [837]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -13.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Ellis	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.26	0.04	0.02	14	96%	0.32	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.11	0.02	14	59%	0.21	2	-0.03	11	100%	0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	17	63%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keegan Murray	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	8%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake LaRavia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.05	0.06	18	73%	0.26	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03
Antonio Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	9	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	31.2	14.7	27.5	2.4	30.6	134.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.4%

NOP -3.2%

SAC +3.4%

SAC +2.6%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	14.4	121.4	114.4	113.1
season	14.3	14.4		115.1	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		118.3	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	16.3	16.5	16.4	15.5
NOP	14.0	13.2	16.2	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	74	71	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.19	24	-16	40	14.6	18.4	-3.77	14.2	13.6	0.58
Keegan Murray	71	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.04	22	-14	36	14.4	18.4	-3.97	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Keon Ellis	55	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	17.4	13.2	4.22	14.7	13.1	1.67
Domantas Sabonis	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	14.9	17.1	-2.26	13.8	14.5	-0.65
DeMar DeRozan	80	81	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.17	15	-7	22	14.8	18.8	-3.98	13.5	16.6	-3.14
Malik Monk	75	75	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.39	-12	20	-32	15.6	15.2	0.41	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jonas Valanciunas	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	17.1	14.9	2.26	14.5	13.8	0.65
Jake LaRavia	18	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.19	-12	20	-32	19.4	14.6	4.79	15.8	13.6	2.14
Trey Lyles	19	18	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.21	-16	24	-40	16.8	15.2	1.63	13.6	14.1	-0.48

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	59	59	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-21	34	13.2	15.3	-2.12	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Javonte Green	24	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-8	8	15.2	13.6	1.55	17.7	14.9	2.83
Jose Alvarado	71	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	13.6	15.2	-1.63	14.8	17.3	-2.48
Antonio Reeves	30	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-16	24	14.8	13.6	1.16	19.0	13.8	5.28
Jordan Hawkins	24	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	14.5	13.8	0.66	17.5	14.8	2.63
Karlo Matkovic	25	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.08	-3	-5	2	15.2	13.6	1.56	17.3	14.9	2.44
Yves Missi	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.5	13.3	1.24	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Bruce Brown	49	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	13.5	14.5	-0.95	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Trey Murphy III	78	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.10	-18	10	-28	13.7	15.2	-1.44	15.0	17.6	-2.60
CJ McCollum	67	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.09	-23	15	-38	14.0	13.9	0.14	13.8	19.1	-5.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.14,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 112, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.02,0	91.6%
DEN 115, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.4%
LAL 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	91.1%