NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	7.8 [316]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +28.0%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.4 [714]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -14.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Simmons	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.01	15	68%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	75%	0.19	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	19	52%	0.13	7	-0.16	6	67%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.01	17	74%	0.33	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	7	79%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.26
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	9	76%	0.13	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	6	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.2	27.6	14.6	24.2	1.6	32.8	126.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.1%

PHI +26.7%

PHI +20.9%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	14.7	117.9	115.8	107.5
season	13.9	15.4		108.1	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		108.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	14.2	11.9	18.0	14.2
DAL	16.6	14.1	17.6	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	22	20	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.15	20	-18	38	12.1	14.8	-2.71	16.8	15.9	0.96
Robert Covington	69	68	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-12	26	14.0	14.9	-0.97	16.6	14.9	1.74
T.J. McConnell	63	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-9	20	13.9	14.8	-0.94	15.7	16.9	-1.27
Ben Simmons	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.1	0.12	16.7	14.6	2.11
Amir Johnson	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-4	10	14.3	14.2	0.08	17.4	15.3	2.11
Joel Embiid	58	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	6	-10	14.2	14.3	-0.08	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Dario Saric	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.39	-7	9	-16	15.2	12.8	2.39	16.5	15.5	0.99
Nik Stauskas	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	12.8	14.5	-1.68	12.8	16.6	-3.85
Jerryd Bayless	61	65	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	15	-28	14.7	13.4	1.35	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Justin Anderson	29	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	14	-26	14.8	14.0	0.82	14.6	16.8	-2.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	57	53	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.39	24	-26	50	15.5	17.0	-1.55	14.6	13.7	0.95
Devin Harris	33	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-9	16	15.9	16.2	-0.24	15.9	13.4	2.54
Dwight Powell	36	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-6	10	15.9	16.2	-0.38	15.2	13.6	1.60
J.J. Barea	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-10	18	16.6	15.7	0.88	15.2	13.4	1.87
Yogi Ferrell	61	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-7	12	16.0	16.2	-0.17	14.6	13.5	1.14
Nerlens Noel	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	16.9	15.6	1.33	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Dennis Smith Jr.	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	11	-24	15.8	16.7	-0.99	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Wesley Matthews	66	68	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.34	-17	15	-32	16.3	15.7	0.53	13.4	16.3	-2.95
Harrison Barnes	76	77	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.33	-18	16	-34	16.2	15.5	0.78	13.6	16.8	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.02,0	92.7%
WAS 116, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	91.6%
IND 97, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0	91.6%