inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 116 Excitement7.9 [272] MVPJared Jeffries (WAS): +13.7%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback1.6 [468] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -21.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Jeffries0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.08-0.00577%0.151-0.02367%0.00
Antawn Jamison0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.120.010.10-0.001551%0.182-0.06967%-0.01
Antonio Daniels0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.090.100.030.04586%0.0900.004100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.090.050.060.022759%0.265-0.18771%-0.03
Etan Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.003100%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00475%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01964%0.065-0.14450%-0.05
Caron Butler-0.220,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.13-0.09-0.001532%-0.153-0.07475%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.07-0.001252%0.143-0.07944%-0.07
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.070.030.04867%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.02673%0.092-0.043100%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.010.022055%0.136-0.161377%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011262%0.053-0.0820%-0.03
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.00425%-0.041-0.0500%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.080.022147%-0.051-0.04743%-0.11
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.0010%-0.061-0.0520%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.324.415.729.12.541.2140.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +40.0%
WAS +2.1%
WAS +14.4%
DEN -8.8%
WAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game14.112.915.6108.4103.8104.4
season15.114.4107.4103.5
opponent15.915.6103.5105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.817.014.013.114.1
DEN12.411.814.213.112.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison97970.72-0.220.950.3712-61814.213.21.0412.913.1-0.23
Brendan Haywood70720.70-0.200.890.2316-102613.715.0-1.2713.212.30.84
Gilbert Arenas99990.56-0.060.620.2710-41413.620.4-6.7412.912.40.50
Michael Ruffin38360.400.100.290.3715-413.414.6-1.1612.213.3-1.10
Antonio Daniels62590.290.210.080.35-28-1014.314.00.3212.912.9-0.03
Caron Butler67680.060.44-0.38-0.0951414.114.2-0.1013.112.50.62
Jared Jeffries46460.050.45-0.40-0.0124-215.313.31.9713.112.70.34
Chucky Atkins1919-0.080.58-0.660.04-410-1414.714.00.7313.012.90.13
Etan Thomas3734-0.200.70-0.890.10-1016-2615.013.71.2712.313.2-0.84

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson22240.20-0.700.91-0.069-152413.712.70.9916.413.52.88
DerMarr Johnson76750.11-0.610.71-0.014-101412.414.1-1.6814.513.31.14
Eduardo Najera43430.08-0.580.67-0.034-101414.012.21.8213.714.5-0.78
Earl Watson7073-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.351-7812.713.3-0.5813.515.5-1.95
Carmelo Anthony9090-0.560.06-0.61-0.23-115-1613.211.31.8713.517.5-4.03
Marcus Camby8786-0.620.12-0.74-0.30-115-1612.614.4-1.8613.715.8-2.02
Kenyon Martin5556-0.660.16-0.83-0.22-159-2412.912.9-0.0915.013.21.77
Andre Miller8788-0.730.23-0.97-0.41-115-1612.813.3-0.5114.512.51.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 92, VAN 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.01,0,093.5%
SAS 83, NJN 730.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.11,0,0,092.6%
HOU 97, SAC 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,092.5%