NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	148		Excitement	11.8 [12]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +56.6%
New York Knicks	149		Comeback	5.7 [265]		LVP	Mouhamed Gueye (ATL): -8.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.49	0.14	0.35	0.01	10	75%	0.49	0	0.00	8	37%	0.03
Dyson Daniels	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.09	0.05	15	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Caris LeVert	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.12
Zaccharie Risacher	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.13	-0.07	0.05	16	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.52,0.58,0.35,0.27,0.26,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	29	53%	0.32	8	-0.35	14	86%	0.24
Terance Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.57	0.57	0.19	0.40	0.02	21	69%	0.73	3	-0.16	10	70%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.20	0.27	0.02	16	74%	0.45	0	0.00	3	67%	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.08	-0.02	25	72%	0.47	7	-0.16	11	82%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	13	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.08
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	33.0	15.5	28.5	2.3	39.5	2.6	21.2	173.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +86.8%

ATL -13.1%

ATL -32.3%

NYK +3.9%

NYK +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	12.1	15.0	14.4	124.4	128.4	112.6
season	13.2	15.2		110.6	119.2
opponent	14.1	14.3		113.4	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	13.0	11.9	11.6	11.2	13.5	12.1
NYK	13.2	14.7	16.1	15.9	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	38	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.55	-19	18	-37	13.3	11.6	1.70	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Onyeka Okongwu	90	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-7	13	11.9	12.9	-1.00	15.5	13.5	2.01
Georges Niang	72	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.76	18	-19	37	11.9	12.4	-0.45	15.4	14.3	1.08
Dyson Daniels	81	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-3	5	12.2	11.8	0.39	15.6	13.8	1.75
Dominick Barlow	29	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	6	-13	12.9	11.9	1.00	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Caris LeVert	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.56	10	-11	21	11.6	13.0	-1.41	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Zaccharie Risacher	67	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	2	-5	12.2	11.9	0.30	16.4	13.3	3.08
Trae Young	103	100	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-1	1	11.8	14.3	-2.55	14.5	18.2	-3.78
Terance Mann	38	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	11	-23	12.7	11.8	0.92	13.7	15.6	-1.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	98	99	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.66	2	-1	3	14.3	18.8	-4.55	11.7	14.1	-2.39
Karl-Anthony Towns	102	106	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	15.5	11.1	4.46	12.0	12.9	-0.91
Mikal Bridges	96	99	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-3	7	15.2	14.2	0.96	11.7	14.2	-2.57
Landry Shamet	38	38	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-3	7	15.8	14.6	1.27	12.9	11.7	1.15
Josh Hart	98	102	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.36	-6	7	-13	15.1	14.2	0.91	12.0	12.6	-0.63
Cameron Payne	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	-4	9	15.9	14.7	1.24	13.6	11.6	2.03
Miles McBride	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	0	1	12.1	15.5	-3.41	13.9	11.8	2.16
Ariel Hukporti	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	2	-3	9.6	15.2	-5.63	15.4	12.0	3.44
Jalen Brunson	94	96	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	12	-23	15.0	14.9	0.16	11.9	13.2	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.91,0.46,0.2,0.57,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 129, SAC 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.92,1	89.3%
HOU 101, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.84,1	88.7%
HOU 125, IND 134	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.39,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.83,1,1	87.8%