NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	129		Excitement	8.9 [153]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +54.6%
Sacramento Kings	135		Comeback	2.5 [564]		LVP	Jose Calderon (NYK): -17.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Aldrich	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.08	0.01	9	90%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	8	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.06	0.04	14	61%	0.22	5	-0.20	3	67%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0,-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.02	29	54%	0.10	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Pablo Prigioni	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	12	37%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.54,0.55	0.55	0.24	0.32	0.02	10	104%	0.59	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0,-0.14,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.11	-0.01	27	60%	0.46	5	-0.24	11	91%	0.12
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	4	92%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.09	-0.24	0.03	21	64%	0.14	4	-0.32	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	0.1	32.0	15.7	27.8	2.7	38.3	1.5	15.4	156.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.5%

SAC +13.7%

NYK -2.6%

NYK -26.3%

SAC +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	15.1	116.2	123.9	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.6	13.3	15.3	12.4	12.1	13.7
SAC	13.6	13.9	16.8	17.6	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	50	50	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-11	16	13.9	13.4	0.50	15.3	15.2	0.15
Travis Wear	32	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-5	4	12.2	14.3	-2.08	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Shane Larkin	75	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-14	22	12.6	15.9	-3.37	15.5	14.7	0.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	12.6	15.2	-2.57	15.3	15.2	0.13
Pablo Prigioni	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	14.9	12.7	2.13	14.5	15.8	-1.35
Carmelo Anthony	93	92	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.2	10.8	3.45	15.4	14.5	0.86
Samuel Dalembert	38	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	3	-12	14.2	13.4	0.83	15.6	15.1	0.59
Jose Calderon	91	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	5	-16	14.0	12.1	1.85	15.3	15.0	0.26
Jason Smith	63	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.20	-15	9	-24	14.0	13.2	0.88	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	87	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	15.4	14.6	0.83	14.1	12.2	1.89
Darren Collison	88	91	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	1	4	15.0	16.2	-1.16	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Ray McCallum	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	6	-6	15.4	15.0	0.41	12.7	15.1	-2.43
DeMarcus Cousins	66	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	1	4	14.9	15.8	-0.96	13.8	13.4	0.44
Reggie Evans	35	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	3	0	15.8	15.0	0.84	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Nik Stauskas	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	4	-2	15.6	15.1	0.53	14.2	13.4	0.74
Jason Thompson	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-4	14	14.7	15.5	-0.76	15.6	12.8	2.77
Carl Landry	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	3	0	16.7	14.9	1.81	14.5	13.5	1.06
Omri Casspi	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	13.6	15.4	-1.85	12.3	13.8	-1.50
Derrick Williams	34	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	12	-18	15.2	15.3	-0.03	11.7	14.6	-2.96
Ben McLemore	61	62	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.2	0.09	14.7	12.3	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.84,1	92.2%
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	90.6%
LAL 96, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	90.5%