NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	4.8 [857]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +15.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	1.1 [1173]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -6.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	20	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	20	70%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	19	64%	0.20	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cliff Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	31.4	15.4	27.6	1.0	0.0	100.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.2%

LAL -4.9%

POR +13.4%

LAL -1.2%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	14.9	104.3	114.9	105.1
season	15.2	15.0		100.1	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.5		106.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.7	16.6	15.2	14.7	16.3
POR	12.1	17.7	13.6	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	71	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	16.1	16.7	-0.59	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Julius Randle	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	16.2	16.4	-0.21	15.6	13.4	2.13
Brandon Bass	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.26	2	-14	16	15.3	16.9	-1.57	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Metta World Peace	38	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-13	14	17.1	15.7	1.39	14.4	15.0	-0.61
Kobe Bryant	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	0	-12	16.0	17.0	-1.08	15.2	13.6	1.64
Roy Hibbert	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	2	-16	16.9	15.3	1.57	15.6	13.4	2.22
Larry Nance Jr.	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	16.4	16.2	0.21	13.4	15.6	-2.13
D'Angelo Russell	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	16.1	16.7	-0.56	15.4	12.4	3.08
Nick Young	29	33	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	3	-18	16.5	16.1	0.37	13.2	15.6	-2.42

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	1	10	14.4	15.6	-1.25	17.0	14.4	2.61
CJ McCollum	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-1	14	15.2	13.7	1.55	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Ed Davis	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	14.7	14.8	-0.13	15.9	16.6	-0.64
Al-Farouq Aminu	53	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	0	12	15.4	13.8	1.59	16.7	15.6	1.16
Allen Crabbe	36	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	7	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.35	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Maurice Harkless	51	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	15.0	14.4	0.56	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Noah Vonleh	41	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	4	4	14.0	15.3	-1.33	16.2	16.3	-0.14
Mason Plumlee	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	5	2	14.9	14.6	0.31	17.1	15.5	1.62
Meyers Leonard	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	14	-16	14.4	15.0	-0.58	16.2	16.3	-0.13
Gerald Henderson	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	10	-8	16.4	14.4	2.00	16.8	16.2	0.62
Cliff Alexander	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	13.3	14.8	-1.44	5.0	16.5	-11.51
Pat Connaughton	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	13.3	14.8	-1.44	5.0	16.5	-11.51
Tim Frazier	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	13.3	14.8	-1.44	5.0	16.5	-11.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
CHA 109, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	91.6%
MIL 87, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	91.4%