NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	4.7 [703]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +24.3%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.0 [784]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -19.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	14	48%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.27	0.02	0.05	12	104%	0.25	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	15	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	10	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.4	24.5	15.8	21.4	2.7	31.3	119.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.4%

PHI -4.2%

PHI -3.3%

ORL +5.8%

ORL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.6	95.6	113.2	102.8
season	15.6	16.2		101.0	102.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.0	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.7	14.7	15.0	15.5	15.9
ORL	14.9	16.0	15.7	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	15.0	15.9	-0.89	20.0	15.7	4.33
Nikola Vucevic	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-13	10	15.1	16.5	-1.35	17.5	14.4	3.08
Lavoy Allen	23	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-7	-2	19.3	14.7	4.53	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Louis Williams	61	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-16	16	14.7	18.2	-3.51	16.5	14.3	2.20
Jodie Meeks	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.17	-13	-3	-10	16.6	15.1	1.46	15.8	15.8	0.02
Evan Turner	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-11	6	15.0	16.9	-1.90	16.4	15.0	1.41
Thaddeus Young	68	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-9	2	14.7	19.3	-4.53	15.9	15.3	0.62
Elton Brand	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.5	15.1	1.35	14.4	17.5	-3.08
Jrue Holiday	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	1	-18	16.9	14.8	2.14	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Andre Iguodala	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	16.4	14.5	1.87	14.7	18.6	-3.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-5	26	15.2	19.1	-3.86	16.2	13.9	2.28
Jason Richardson	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.26	23	-7	30	14.5	17.9	-3.42	17.0	13.9	3.09
Hedo Turkoglu	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-3	22	14.6	17.4	-2.79	17.3	13.9	3.41
Jameer Nelson	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-3	22	14.7	17.4	-2.67	17.2	13.7	3.52
Ryan Anderson	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	-1	18	14.6	17.6	-3.02	17.0	14.1	2.82
Chris Duhon	37	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	19	-22	17.4	14.7	2.67	13.7	17.2	-3.52
Quentin Richardson	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	19	-22	17.4	14.6	2.79	13.9	17.3	-3.41
Glen Davis	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	21	-26	17.6	14.8	2.81	13.8	17.0	-3.19
JJ Redick	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	23	-30	17.9	14.5	3.42	13.9	17.0	-3.09
Earl Clark	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	17	-18	18.9	15.1	3.77	14.6	16.1	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 92, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%