NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	125		Excitement	9.9 [94]		MVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +45.8%
Indiana Pacers	134		Comeback	1.6 [935]		LVP	Daishen Nix (HOU): -26.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.16	0.29	-0.00	19	64%	0.48	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Josh Christopher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.12	-0.11	0.05	13	68%	0.08	1	-0.12	8	62%	-0.11
Usman Garuba	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.07	-0.04	23	46%	-0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Tari Eason	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	-0.00	12	25%	-0.13	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.20	0.01	7	100%	0.33	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	12	69%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	13	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	20	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.07
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	15	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	72%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.7	1.8	24.4	14.4	31.4	1.7	32.6	1.8	11.0	148.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.6%

IND +14.1%

HOU -9.9%

IND +21.8%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.4	111.6	120.7	113.4
season	14.8	13.7		109.8	113.3
opponent	14.4	13.9		116.4	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.6	13.6	13.1	12.6	14.1	14.0
IND	11.7	15.9	15.2	16.2	13.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Christopher	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-12	15	14.7	13.7	1.07	15.2	14.3	0.87
Daishen Nix	76	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	13.3	15.4	-2.11	14.8	13.9	0.88
Tari Eason	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.9	0.21	14.6	14.5	0.10
Usman Garuba	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.2	13.7	1.48	13.6	14.8	-1.14
Alperen Sengun	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	15.5	12.6	2.94	13.9	15.1	-1.27
Jabari Smith Jr.	98	97	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	13.8	15.6	-1.82	14.9	12.0	2.91
Jalen Green	92	90	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	13.5	16.4	-2.94	14.6	14.4	0.14
Kenyon Martin Jr.	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	14.0	14.0	0.01	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Jae'Sean Tate	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	13.7	14.3	-0.54	14.6	14.4	0.22

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	81	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-5	19	14.1	15.7	-1.63	13.9	14.3	-0.49
Aaron Nesmith	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-11	31	14.4	14.9	-0.50	14.1	13.7	0.41
Andrew Nembhard	53	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	3	3	14.6	14.5	0.08	14.1	13.8	0.28
Myles Turner	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	2	5	14.3	14.8	-0.46	14.6	13.4	1.25
Buddy Hield	72	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	3	3	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.2	15.3	-2.11
Jordan Nwora	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	15	-21	15.3	14.0	1.32	14.1	13.9	0.25
Isaiah Jackson	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	7	-5	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.2	13.9	0.31
Bennedict Mathurin	6	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	8	-7	14.7	14.5	0.13	15.3	13.9	1.43
Jalen Smith	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.0	14.5	-1.53
T.J. McConnell	55	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	10	-11	14.7	14.3	0.41	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Chris Duarte	49	51	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	14.9	14.3	0.60	14.8	13.3	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.39,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.83,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 129, SAC 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.92,1	88.8%
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	88.7%
LAC 111, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	88.7%