NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	7.1 [443]		MVP	Jeff Green (HOU): +21.5%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.8 [699]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): -11.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Shead	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.06	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.01	19	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	7	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	7	50%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	19	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	0.06	16	46%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	30.4	14.4	25.4	2.3	36.3	138.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.6%

HOU +16.7%

HOU +18.1%

TOR -3.7%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	14.4	88.8	94.9	113.1
season	13.9	14.8		109.0	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.6		109.7	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	13.5	15.7	13.9	14.3
HOU	13.8	12.2	17.9	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gradey Dick	33	33	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-8	9	14.2	14.4	-0.23	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Orlando Robinson	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-10	13	15.2	13.8	1.39	13.6	15.7	-2.17
Chris Boucher	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-8	9	15.8	13.5	2.28	15.2	14.8	0.42
Immanuel Quickley	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	14.2	14.6	-0.39	13.9	16.9	-3.06
Ja'Kobe Walter	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	13.9	14.7	-0.78	16.2	13.6	2.53
Ochai Agbaji	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	13.8	15.4	-1.59	15.5	13.8	1.70
Jamal Shead	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	14.3	14.3	-0.01	16.4	14.1	2.31
Scottie Barnes	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	14.0	15.6	-1.55	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Jonathan Mogbo	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	3	-13	13.8	15.3	-1.51	15.8	13.3	2.45
Jamison Battle	27	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	5	-17	15.8	13.7	2.08	13.9	15.3	-1.40

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	86	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-1	9	14.7	16.5	-1.85	14.4	13.8	0.54
Cam Whitmore	49	47	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	2	3	15.9	13.9	2.00	14.4	14.2	0.27
Jeff Green	37	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.9	13.3	2.68
Reed Sheppard	28	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	2	3	14.0	15.3	-1.30	14.6	14.2	0.47
Jae'Sean Tate	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	2	3	13.7	15.5	-1.73	15.1	13.9	1.16
Jalen Green	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.0	15.1	-1.17
Dillon Brooks	76	75	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	5	-3	15.4	13.3	2.17	14.0	15.3	-1.36
Jock Landale	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	15.1	14.7	0.35	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Aaron Holiday	57	56	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	6	-5	14.4	15.6	-1.16	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Alperen Sengun	9	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	13.9	15.0	-1.14	11.6	14.5	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.9%
CHI 87, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.6%
POR 101, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%