NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	7.0 [455]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +14.4%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	5.3 [176]		LVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): -18.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	6	42%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.04	-0.03	15	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Pelle Larsson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kel'el Ware	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Haywood Highsmith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	22	33%	-0.09	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	12	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	15	49%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	32.4	14.8	26.5	2.5	29.4	131.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +20.6%

BKN +5.1%

BKN +29.2%

BKN +2.1%

MIA -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	14.4	92.5	107.4	113.0
season	15.0	15.3		111.5	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.9	15.8	14.4	13.7	14.9
BKN	17.6	14.2	15.0	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Haywood Highsmith	35	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-16	16	14.1	15.4	-1.34	16.2	15.4	0.83
Pelle Larsson	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-10	4	15.6	14.7	0.97	18.3	15.1	3.22
Tyler Herro	71	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	-5	-6	14.9	14.9	0.04	16.5	13.2	3.33
Kel'el Ware	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-17	18	14.3	15.7	-1.33	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-7	-2	15.2	14.7	0.54	14.0	16.8	-2.84
Bam Adebayo	68	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-2	-12	15.1	14.2	0.95	16.7	13.1	3.55
Duncan Robinson	57	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-14	12	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Terry Rozier	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.04	-21	5	-26	15.2	14.2	1.03	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Nikola Jovic	62	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.21	-18	2	-20	15.1	14.4	0.71	15.1	16.9	-1.76

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	67	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-2	20	15.6	16.1	-0.58	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Tosan Evbuomwan	41	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	2	12	13.6	17.4	-3.74	15.0	14.8	0.11
Trendon Watford	40	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-3	22	17.4	14.5	2.96	16.0	14.1	1.86
Tyrese Martin	43	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	7	2	13.8	17.3	-3.56	15.0	14.8	0.11
Day'Ron Sharpe	35	35	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	8	0	13.5	17.0	-3.52	15.3	14.7	0.63
Nic Claxton	60	58	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	8	0	17.0	13.5	3.52	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Cameron Johnson	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	12	-8	17.3	13.4	3.86	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Keon Johnson	44	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	15	-14	17.9	13.8	4.09	14.9	14.9	-0.03
D'Angelo Russell	56	56	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	17	-18	14.6	17.4	-2.88	14.2	15.9	-1.75
Jalen Wilson	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	16	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.22	15.7	14.5	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.48,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.0%
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
CHI 99, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	91.3%