NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	5.7 [692]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +41.4%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	5.2 [249]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -14.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	16	36%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.30	0.15	0.03	23	74%	0.43	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.05
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	0.00	0.07	8	95%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	8	45%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	48%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	14	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	27.0	15.0	24.7	1.8	30.5	128.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +54.0%

NJN +4.9%

CHI -13.9%

NJN +10.4%

CHI -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.5	111.2	123.3	106.4
season	14.8	16.0		106.3	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	16.1	18.0	14.7	16.0
NJN	15.7	17.3	15.6	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	49	49	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-22	32	14.2	18.2	-3.98	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Brad Miller	48	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-11	10	14.9	17.4	-2.56	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Luol Deng	57	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-9	6	15.7	16.7	-0.97	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Tim Thomas	30	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-6	0	17.0	15.6	1.41	15.8	16.3	-0.52
Tyrus Thomas	45	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-9	6	17.1	14.9	2.22	16.5	15.8	0.75
John Salmons	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	15.4	17.3	-1.94	16.2	16.0	0.17
Joakim Noah	41	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-1	-10	17.4	14.9	2.56	16.9	15.5	1.39
Derrick Rose	53	54	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	5	-22	17.1	14.5	2.53	16.9	14.9	2.00
Ben Gordon	62	62	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.19	-21	9	-30	16.3	15.5	0.74	16.0	16.6	-0.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-7	26	15.9	17.7	-1.86	16.6	12.5	4.09
Keyon Dooling	51	52	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	1	10	15.8	16.5	-0.70	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Bobby Simmons	53	53	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	0	12	16.3	16.0	0.29	15.2	17.3	-2.18
Vince Carter	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	16.0	16.7	-0.71	15.6	17.9	-2.24
Brook Lopez	56	59	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	9	-6	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Sean Williams	34	30	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	3	6	15.3	16.7	-1.41	17.4	15.3	2.11
Jarvis Hayes	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	10	-8	16.4	16.0	0.38	16.9	15.4	1.56
Yi Jianlian	39	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	13	-14	16.5	15.8	0.70	17.1	15.3	1.82
Trenton Hassell	27	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	18	-24	16.7	15.9	0.85	16.0	16.0	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NOP 104, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.1%
SEA 96, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.71,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1	91.9%