NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	104		Excitement	6.2 [575]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +33.2%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	4.8 [506]		LVP	Gerald Green (PHX): -9.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32	0.23	0.11	0.02	18	80%	0.36	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	10	87%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33	0.33	0.25	0.12	0.03	21	75%	0.39	3	-0.06	11	82%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	68%	0.18	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.13	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	133%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	-0.00	-0.06	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	13	41%	-0.00	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	31.2	15.6	29.0	2.8	37.3	145.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.5%

PHX +12.7%

PHX +12.1%

NOP -0.8%

NOP -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.1	115.6	128.9	105.2
season	15.5	14.7		105.6	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		105.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	15.9	16.4	15.8	16.0
PHX	14.6	18.4	15.6	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	14	13	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.09	8	-20	28	13.9	16.4	-2.49	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Alexis Ajinca	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-12	12	14.8	16.6	-1.79	17.4	15.3	2.11
Darius Miller	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-9	6	17.2	15.9	1.31	13.4	16.2	-2.80
Austin Rivers	54	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	17.4	14.0	3.44	16.6	15.1	1.49
Luke Babbitt	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-11	10	18.8	15.0	3.83	14.8	16.4	-1.62
Tyreke Evans	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.0	19.3	-4.29	16.5	14.3	2.19
Brian Roberts	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.0	16.8	-1.82	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Anthony Davis	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	1	-14	16.1	15.9	0.13	15.6	18.4	-2.83
Al-Farouq Aminu	22	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-3	-6	17.3	15.6	1.64	17.2	15.6	1.67
Anthony Morrow	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Eric Gordon	71	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.18	-15	3	-18	15.4	18.4	-2.96	15.9	16.2	-0.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	45	44	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-5	22	15.8	16.2	-0.42	16.1	16.0	0.11
Markieff Morris	57	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-2	16	15.8	16.2	-0.39	16.6	14.9	1.70
Marcus Morris	47	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-2	16	15.9	16.1	-0.20	15.8	16.3	-0.43
Goran Dragic	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-2	16	16.0	15.8	0.15	15.8	17.6	-1.83
Gerald Green	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	0	12	16.3	15.0	1.30	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Archie Goodwin	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	13	-14	14.6	16.3	-1.63	18.6	15.5	3.08
PJ Tucker	57	58	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	12	-12	15.2	17.2	-2.01	16.2	15.7	0.44
Channing Frye	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	14	-16	16.1	15.9	0.20	16.3	15.8	0.43
Miles Plumlee	40	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.09	-8	20	-28	17.4	14.8	2.58	14.6	17.1	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
HOU 119, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.73,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,1	92.3%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	92.1%