NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	6.5 [498]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +19.2%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	3.6 [553]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (DAL): -15.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	20	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	19	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Ansu Sesay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	14	40%	-0.09	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.13	0.05	25	62%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	9	84%	0.23	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	19	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	15	44%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	24.6	17.5	27.4	2.5	33.6	132.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.8%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +27.0%

SEA -3.6%

SEA -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.7	99.0	110.3	100.5
season	15.6	14.6		105.0	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	16.6	13.8	14.7	15.2
DAL	14.0	14.1	15.7	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	52	51	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.09	3	-14	17	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Vitaly Potapenko	46	45	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-13	15	14.6	15.8	-1.13	14.6	14.3	0.30
Reggie Evans	36	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-15	19	14.6	15.6	-0.98	14.7	14.3	0.45
Luke Ridnour	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-10	9	16.4	15.0	1.45	14.7	14.4	0.29
Richie Frahm	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-12	13	10.2	16.1	-5.86	15.1	14.4	0.71
Rashard Lewis	81	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	14.6	18.4	-3.84	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Ansu Sesay	7	7	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	21.6	14.7	6.84	10.3	14.8	-4.50
Jerome James	33	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	18.2	13.7	4.43	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Ronald Murray	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	2	-15	14.5	17.0	-2.44	14.5	14.4	0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	50	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	2	-15	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Ray Allen	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	-1	-9	15.2	15.2	0.05	14.7	13.1	1.68

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	62	62	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.14	17	-6	23	14.1	15.2	-1.11	15.6	14.6	0.94
Michael Finley	92	92	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	-3	17	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.3	14.2	1.08
Shawn Bradley	8	8	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-3	17	13.1	14.6	-1.46	23.6	14.5	9.15
Dirk Nowitzki	87	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	0	11	14.4	15.3	-0.93	14.9	18.4	-3.54
Marquis Daniels	89	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	14.6	13.2	1.32	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Danny Fortson	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	15.5	14.2	1.28	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Scott Williams	32	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	10	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.37	16.0	14.8	1.22
Eduardo Najera	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	15	-19	14.2	14.6	-0.38	15.5	15.1	0.39
Antoine Walker	70	70	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.17	-12	23	-35	14.9	13.3	1.57	14.4	17.4	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.71,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,1	93.1%
DAL 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.0%
CHI 99, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.79,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	91.9%