NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	128		Excitement	9.6 [79]		MVP	Keyonte George (UTA): +71.3%
Utah Jazz	131		Comeback	195.1 [2]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -17.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	14	64%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.07	-0.00	18	59%	0.22	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17	0.02	0.09	-0.06	31	50%	0.21	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Quinten Post	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Rowe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Gary Payton II	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Spencer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	7	39%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.71	0.71	0.20	0.54	0.03	13	76%	0.75	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.12	0.03	19	70%	0.33	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Isaiah Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.12	-0.03	18	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	75%	0.22	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.04
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.3	25.3	14.8	29.6	2.3	42.6	147.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.4%

UTA +19.7%

GSW -3.1%

GSW -21.3%

UTA +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	14.1	14.4	120.8	124.8	112.6
season	14.3	14.9		112.2	110.3
opponent	13.7	14.5		117.7	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	12.9	13.0	15.2	13.2
UTA	13.2	18.4	13.7	11.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Rowe	31	30	0.46	-0.95	1.41	-0.04	17	-20	37	12.6	13.4	-0.77	13.6	14.3	-0.71
Gary Payton II	29	29	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.17	6	-9	15	12.4	13.5	-1.08	16.6	13.2	3.33
Kevon Looney	49	48	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.13	6	-9	15	13.4	12.9	0.46	15.0	13.5	1.50
Gui Santos	24	23	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.10	11	-14	25	12.5	13.4	-0.85	14.8	14.0	0.82
Pat Spencer	29	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-8	13	12.8	13.3	-0.51	14.2	14.1	0.12
Brandin Podziemski	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.1	8.8	5.33	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Quinten Post	55	55	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	6	-15	13.4	12.9	0.42	13.8	14.5	-0.68
Buddy Hield	68	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	11	-25	13.0	13.5	-0.57	14.2	14.0	0.22
Draymond Green	79	77	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.44	-13	10	-23	13.0	13.7	-0.68	13.4	16.2	-2.78
Stephen Curry	79	78	-1.10	0.60	-1.71	-0.49	-21	18	-39	13.0	13.6	-0.63	13.6	15.6	-2.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	67	67	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.34	19	-16	35	13.8	14.7	-0.89	13.1	13.2	-0.03
Jordan Clarkson	72	73	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-14	31	14.0	14.4	-0.32	13.3	12.8	0.50
Isaiah Collier	78	79	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.56	9	-6	15	13.2	16.7	-3.50	12.9	13.9	-1.03
Walker Kessler	77	78	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-14	31	14.1	14.1	0.00	13.5	12.3	1.14
Keyonte George	66	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.77	0	3	-3	13.7	14.8	-1.08	13.4	12.7	0.74
Brice Sensabaugh	29	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	10	-17	12.9	14.6	-1.67	11.6	13.7	-2.06
Kyle Filipowski	28	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	17	-31	14.1	14.1	-0.00	12.3	13.5	-1.14
Micah Potter	38	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.07	-16	19	-35	14.7	13.8	0.89	13.2	13.1	0.03
Johnny Juzang	21	22	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.11	-10	13	-23	17.1	13.4	3.75	13.5	13.1	0.49
Svi Mykhailiuk	49	49	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.46	0	3	-3	15.7	12.8	2.91	13.7	12.7	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.42,1	89.4%
SAS 100, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.27,1	89.3%
GSW 100, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.64,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.17,1	89.0%